Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 25

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: LFF stadionas (Vilnius)

Referee: Valikonis R. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	BTV, LNK


	Žalgiris		Kauno Žalgiris

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.25	2.15
	2.90	3.20	2.08
	3.11	3.45	2.25
	2.86	3.49	2.31	Watch
	3.00	3.40	2.20
	2.93	3.55	2.25	Watch
	2.85	3.30	2.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.65)	3.38 ↑ (3.2)	2.21 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žalgiris
31.3%

Draw
27.1%

Kauno Žalgiris
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

27.5%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

27.5%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žalgiris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Kauno Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Žalgiris - Kauno Žalgiris Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sarkauskas V. (G) 4. Koy Lupano D. 20. Lytvynenko I. 15. Bosancic P. 13. Upstas K. 77. Kendysh Y. (C) 10. Golubickas P. 18. Sesplaukis D. 27. Vareika M. 7. Mihajlovic N. 19. Bilenkyi S.	55. Svedkauskas T. (C) 45. Moutachy J. 3. Tolordava A. 77. Lekiatas R. 33. Konatar M. 8. Karashima Y. 24. Burba M. 7. Benchaib A. 20. Kalik A. 9. Krekovic L. 27. Debeljuh G.
Substitutes
8. Antal L. 29. Bicka K. 6. Capan M. 21. Franke D. 9. Jarusevicius G. 1. Olses C. (G) 11. Petkovic N. 14. Setkus M. 70. Teixeira B. 5. Turda G. 16. Usavicius J. 22. Verbickas O.	32. Baldassarra F. 11. Cernych F. 17. Fiolic I. 23. Hernandez A. 37. Iyobosa Edokpolor N. 62. Kastrati L. II. 15. Leo Ribeiro 22. Mikelionis D. (G) 70. Ourega F. 19. Renan Oliveira 10. Sirgedas G. 14. Slivka V.
Coaches
Skerla A.	Sopic Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Vareika M. ⚽, Golubickas P. (A),
8', 1 - 1, Krekovic L. ⚽, Lekiatas R. (A),
20', 1 - 2, Krekovic L. ⚽,
45', 2 - 2, Vareika M. ⚽, Golubickas P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 3 - 2, Bilenkyi S. ⚽,
63', Mihajlovic N. 🟨,
73', Lekiatas R. 🟨,
79', Bosancic P. 🟨,
82', Konatar M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 2.

Žalgiris has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kauno Žalgiris is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Žalgiris may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kauno Žalgiris might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:28. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Žalgiris won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.6:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kauno Zalgiris	28	14	9	5	56:20	36	51
4	Zalgiris	28	13	5	10	41:34	7	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Žalgiris Vilnius
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
13.09.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Žalgiris	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Žalgiris - FA Šiauliai	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Panevėžys - Žalgiris	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Žalgiris - Džiugas Telšiai	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWLWL
- FK Kauno Žalgiris
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
13.09.26	Panevėžys - Kauno Žalgiris	0:1 ✺
09.09.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė	5:1 ✺
06.09.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Džiugas Telšiai	5:0 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
03.09.26	FA Šiauliai - Kauno Žalgiris	0:1 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
30.08.26	Banga Gargždai - Kauno Žalgiris	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
31.05.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Žalgiris	0:1
05.04.26	Žalgiris - Kauno Žalgiris	0:3
22.10.25	Kauno Žalgiris - Žalgiris	1:2
04.08.25	Žalgiris - Kauno Žalgiris	1:2
Lithuanian Cup
20.05.25	Žalgiris - Kauno Žalgiris	2:4 ET
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
17.05.25	Kauno Žalgiris - Žalgiris	3:0
06.04.25	Žalgiris - Kauno Žalgiris	0:0

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