Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 July 2025, Thursday

Location: LFF stadionas (Vilnius)

Referee: Muntean D. (Mda)


	Žalgiris		Linfield

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2	3.25	3.6	Watch
	2.02	3.23	3.72
	2.05	3.19	3.74	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4.2
	2.07	3.39	3.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.74)	3.24 ↓ (3.62)	3.66 ↓ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žalgiris
46.1%

Draw
28.6%

Linfield
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

25.1%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žalgiris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Žalgiris's form might have worsened.

Linfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	4.5%	4.5%

Žalgiris - Linfield Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Žalgiris (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Žalgiris will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Žalgiris will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Žalgiris (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olses C. (G) 19. Youla M. 77. Kendysh Y. 6. Dumancic L. 49. Tavares B. 45. Moutachy J. 8. Salcinovic D. 15. Ofori E. 22. Verbickas O. (C) 23. Chol M. 80. Antal L.	1. Johns Ch. (G) 67. Orr M. 2. Roscoe S. 3. East E. 27. McGee E. 5. Shields C. 22. Mulgrew J. (C) 21. Archer J. 7. Millar K. 29. Fitzpatrick M. 9. Offord K.
Substitutes
4. Abiam N. 29. Bicka K. 7. Hadji K. 10. Henrique 9. Jarusevicius G. 42. Lukasevic K. 17. Matulevicius G. 44. Matyzonok P. 71. Mihajlovic N. 25. Pavilonis V. 14. Setkus M. 96. Tordai A. (G)	10. Allen C. 36. Annett R. 24. Brown S. 8. McClean K. 37. McKay R. 17. McKee C. 38. Morrison C. 51. Walsh D. (G) 4. Whiteside S.
Coaches
Cheburin V.	Healy D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Mulgrew J. 🟨,
41', East E. ↓, Whiteside S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Kendysh Y. 🟨,
64', Chol M. ↓, Hadji K. ↑,
75', Salcinovic D. ↓, Matulevicius G. ↑,
77', McGee E. 🟨,
85', Offord K. ↓, McKee C. ↑,
85', Mulgrew J. ↓, McClean K. ↑,
85', Antal L. ↓, Henrique ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Žalgiris is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Linfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Žalgiris is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Žalgiris won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Žalgiris - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 52.11%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Žalgiris Vilnius
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
19.07.25	Žalgiris - Džiugas Telšiai	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.07.25	Hamrun Spartans - Žalgiris	3:0 penalties ✺
09.07.25	Žalgiris - Hamrun Spartans	2:0 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
04.07.25	Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai	1:0 ✺
29.06.25	Panevėžys - Žalgiris	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWWW
- Linfield FC
UEFA Champions League
16.07.25	Linfield - Shelbourne	1:1 ✺
09.07.25	Shelbourne - Linfield	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
28.06.25	Linfield - Haverfordwest County	4:0 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
26.04.25	Coleraine - Linfield	1:0 ✺
18.04.25	Larne - Linfield	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
13.07.21	Linfield - Žalgiris	1:2
06.07.21	Žalgiris - Linfield	3:1

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