The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Larne 47.5%
Draw 26.7%
Linfield 25.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.1%
27.5%
23.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.1%
27%
22.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Linfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linfield than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Larne - Linfield Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ferguson R. (G) 26. Bent D. 23. Cosgrove T. (C) 15. Doherty R. 4. Donnelly A. 22. McEneff J. 21. Millar L. 9. O'Neill P. 3. Ridley M. 47. Simpson J. 25. Sloan D.
1. Johns Ch. (G) 26. Baird I. 19. Brennan R. 10. Frizzell A. 15. Hall B. 8. McClean K. 34. McCullough D. 27. McGee E. 30. Moore K. 14. Nelson K. 5. Shields C. (C)
Substitutes
16. Carney J. (G) 45. Gibson M. 14. Magee B. 7. McKendry C. 19. O'Hara K. 8. Randall M. 27. Sandiford G.
24. Brown S. 29. Fitzpatrick M. 18. Glavin A. (G) . Millar K. 22. Mulgrew J. 4. Nolan R. 16. Wells D.
Coaches
Haveron G.
Healy D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Millar L. ⚽,
45+1', Baird I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 1 - 1, Brennan R. ⚽,
53', Cosgrove T. 🟨,
60', O'Neill P. 🟨,
60', McGee E. 🟨,
60', Bent D. 🟨,
63', Moore K. ↓, Fitzpatrick M. ↑,
68', McEneff J. ↓, Randall M. ↑,
73', Nelson K. ↓, Millar K. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, McGee E. ⚽,
83', Sloan D. ↓, O'Hara K. ↑,
83', O'Neill P. ↓, Gibson M. ↑,
83', Simpson J. ↓, Sandiford G. ↑,
85', Ridley M. 🟨,
87', Millar L. ↓, McKendry C. ↑,
88', McKendry C. 🟨,
90', Brennan R. ↓, Mulgrew J. ↑,
90', Frizzell A. ↓, Wells D. ↑,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 4th in the Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 2nd in the Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larne won 2.
Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.
Linfield may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Larne holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Larne has recorded 8 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:15 (averaging 1.2:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Larne against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with 13:9 goals (averaging 1.2:0.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Linfield
13
10
2
1
20:10
10
32
3
Larne
11
7
2
2
21:10
11
23
Last Results with these Odds
Larne - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.14%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
United Kingdom
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Ferguson R. (G) 
Bent D. 
Cosgrove T. (C) 
Doherty R. 
Ridley M. 
Sandiford G. 
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