The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Žalgiris 41.3%
Draw 27%
Sūduva Marijampolė 31.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.8%
27.2%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
26.3%
30%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Žalgiris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Sūduva Marijampolė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 3.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Žalgiris may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Sūduva has had a run of games away from home.
Žalgiris is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Žalgiris has recorded 11 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 39:13 (averaging 2:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Žalgiris against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 21:4 goals (averaging 2.1:0.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Suduva
28
13
11
4
39:25
14
50
4
Zalgiris
28
13
5
10
41:34
7
44
Last Results with these Odds
Sūduva Marijampolė - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.02%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.