Match Info

I Lyga - Round 11

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
Lithuania	LNK
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	DAZN USA


	Žalgiris Vilnius 2		BFA Vilnius

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.6	3.3	2.3
	2.45	3.5	2.4
	2.41	3.49	2.36
	2.43	3.67	2.44	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.25
	2.44	3.45	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.74)	3.42 ↑ (3.23)	2.36 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žalgiris Vilnius 2
35.7%

Draw
26.3%

BFA Vilnius
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

28.2%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

28.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žalgiris Vilnius 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

BFA Vilnius has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris Vilnius 2 than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFA Vilnius than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - BFA Vilnius Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, ⚽,
41', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
57', 2 - 2, ⚽,
64', 🟥,
69', 3 - 2, ⚽,
77', (Penalty Awarded),
77', 3 - 3, ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris 2 won 1.

Recent form of Žalgiris 2 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

BFA has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

BFA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, BFA has had a series of home games.

Žalgiris 2 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris 2 won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 2.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Žalgiris 2 won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:9. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	BFA Vilnius	25	13	4	8	39:35	4	43
6	Zalgiris 2	25	13	4	8	38:32	6	43

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Žalgiris Vilnius 2
Lithuanian Division 2
15.05.26	Babrungas Plungė - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	3:0 ✺
08.05.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Tauras Tauragė	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Neptūnas - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Dainava Alytus	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Transinvest 2 - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTLTT
- BFA Vilnius
Lithuanian Cup
19.05.26	BFA Vilnius - Garliava	2:1 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
16.05.26	BFA Vilnius - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:5 ✺
09.05.26	BFA Vilnius - Garliava	1:2 ✺
01.05.26	Babrungas Plungė - BFA Vilnius	4:0 ✺
25.04.26	BFA Vilnius - Tauras Tauragė	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
12.09.25	BFA Vilnius - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:0
11.05.25	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - BFA Vilnius	4:1
07.08.23	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - BFA Vilnius	1:6
18.03.23	BFA Vilnius - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	0:0
12.11.22	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - BFA Vilnius	1:1
06.07.22	BFA Vilnius - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	3:2
07.08.21	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - BFA Vilnius	1:0

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