Match Info

I Lyga - Round 14

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK


	Žalgiris Vilnius 2		Jonava

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.25	2.38
	2.67	3.32	2.38
	2.73	3.08	2.49	Watch
	2.63	3	2.38
	2.58	3.28	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.55)	3.19 ↓ (3.4)	2.4 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žalgiris Vilnius 2
34.1%

Draw
28.3%

Jonava
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

26.8%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

25.8%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žalgiris Vilnius 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

The chances for Jonava have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris Vilnius 2 than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jonava than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Jonava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
19', 1 - 0, Berenta V. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Adetunji K. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 2, Rybelis A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris 2 won 1.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Jonava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris 2 won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.6:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Žalgiris 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Zalgiris 2	25	13	4	8	38:32	6	43
11	Jonava	25	7	6	12	28:33	-5	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Žalgiris Vilnius 2
Lithuanian Division 2
13.06.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Garliava	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:0 ✺
22.05.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - BFA Vilnius	3:4 ✺
15.05.26	Babrungas Plungė - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	3:0 ✺
08.05.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Tauras Tauragė	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLLLT
- FK Jonava
Lithuanian Division 2
12.06.26	Jonava - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:1 ✺
07.06.26	Jonava - Minija Kretinga	0:0 ✺
30.05.26	BFA Vilnius - Jonava	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	Jonava - Babrungas Plungė	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Tauras Tauragė - Jonava	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
31.10.25	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Jonava	0:0
21.06.25	Jonava - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:1
31.10.23	Jonava - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	0:4
01.05.23	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Jonava	1:3
02.10.21	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Jonava	1:2
19.06.21	Jonava - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	3:1
08.08.20	Jonava - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	3:3

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