Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 7

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	1 Dezembro		Alverca

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	1.98
	3.83	3.43	1.96
	3.68	3.3	1.9
	3.55	3.35	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.38)	3.3 ↑ (3.1)	1.94 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

1 Dezembro
25.3%

Draw
27.7%

Alverca
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

29.3%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

28.8%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

1 Dezembro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1 Dezembro than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Marcelino R. (G) 21. Lobo Y. 4. Luis R. 33. Simoes T. 55. Coelho D. 5. Sousa A. 6. Santos T. 60. Marques R. 17. Cardoso H. 19. Gracio D. 30. Balde U.	1. Ribeiro L. (G) 13. Bernardo J. 2. Ronaldo 33. Venaque 90. Vitor Bruno 35. Pedro Bicalho 8. Pinto G. 28. Hachadi K. 88. Martins D. 17. Costa J. 18. Jesus P.
Substitutes
75. Batista D. 28. Castro D. 25. Castro G. 3. Henriques D. 23. Lisandro Menezes 7. Manel Liz 1. Passos C. 10. Rafa Pinto 14. Sambu I.	10. Batalha R. 77. Godinho G. 22. Hidalgo N. (G) 23. Iago Oliveira 24. Ildefonso T. 9. Jean Sales 76. Ramos D. 19. Silva R. 11. Vitinho

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

1 Dezembro is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Alverca is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alverca will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches 1 Dezembro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-9.

Including matches at home between the teams 1 Dezembro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SU 1 Dezembro
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	1 Dezembro - Paços de Ferreira	1:0 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
17.09.23	1 Dezembro - Sporting Lisbon B	0:1 ✺
03.09.23	Atlético CP - 1 Dezembro	3:0 ✺
27.08.23	1 Dezembro - Covilhã	0:2 ✺
19.08.23	Pero Pinheiro - 1 Dezembro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLLL
- FC Alverca
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	Atlético CP - Alverca	1:0 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
17.09.23	Alverca - Atlético CP	1:1 ✺
03.09.23	Covilhã - Alverca	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Alverca - Pero Pinheiro	3:0 ✺
19.08.23	Caldas - Alverca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
14.02.21	1 Dezembro - Alverca	0:1
11.11.20	Alverca - 1 Dezembro	5:1
23.02.20	1 Dezembro - Alverca	0:0
Club Friendly
28.07.19	Alverca - 1 Dezembro	3:2

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