Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - PROMOTION GROUP - ROUND 2

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday

Location: FC Alverca Sports Complex (Alverca do Ribatejo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Alverca		Atlético CP

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	3.4
	2.02	3.15	3.3
	2.05	3.33	3.87
	2.08	3.21	3.63	Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.24)	3.24 ↑ (3.06)	3.53 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alverca
45.5%

Draw
28.4%

Atlético CP
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

30.2%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

30.4%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Atlético CP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético CP than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Joao Bravim (G) 17. Costa J. 25. Dias R. 6. Luiz Miguel 88. Martins D. 4. Oliveira A. 35. Pedro Bicalho 16. Pires M. 20. Salomao D. 33. Venaque (C) 90. Vitor Bruno	70. Pinhao N. (G) 23. Almeida B. 9. Balotelli 6. Costa J. 21. Morgado T. 77. Pala F. 31. Paulinho 88. Pinto P. 17. Silva D. 4. Tembeng N. 24. Ventosa H.

Preview

Recent matches Alverca is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atlético CP is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético CP could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Alverca will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alverca won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Alverca won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alverca
Portuguese Liga 3
11.02.24	Braga B - Alverca	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Amora - Alverca	1:3 ✺
20.01.24	Alverca - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0 ✺
13.01.24	Alverca - 1 Dezembro	2:0 ✺
07.01.24	Atlético CP - Alverca	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWWL
- Atlético CP
Portuguese Liga 3
10.02.24	Atlético CP - Felgueiras	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Académica Coimbra - Atlético CP	2:2 ✺
21.01.24	Atlético CP - Oliveira Hospital	1:0 ✺
13.01.24	Amora - Atlético CP	1:1 ✺
07.01.24	Atlético CP - Alverca	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
07.01.24	Atlético CP - Alverca	3:1
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	Atlético CP - Alverca	1:0 penalties
Portuguese Liga 3
17.09.23	Alverca - Atlético CP	1:1

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