Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 16

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Campo Conde de Sucena (Sintra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	1 Dezembro		Mafra

	1	X	2
	3.25	3	2.1
	3.53	3.26	2.08	Watch
	3.5	2.9	2.05
	3.46	3	2.09
	3.5	3.1	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↓ (3.69)	3.05 ↓ (3.07)	2.06 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

1 Dezembro
26.3%

Draw
29.7%

Mafra
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

29.6%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

28.7%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

1 Dezembro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 1 Dezembro than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

1 Dezembro - Mafra Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Duarte F. (G) 13. Bernardo J. 79. Cardoso D. 24. Edu 26. Freitas J. 20. Harramiz S. 85. Infante A. 6. Lima P. 33. Mane L. 23. Menezes L. (C) 55. Vito	99. Ribeiro L. (G) 3. Alves K. 39. Andrey 5. Beni D. 2. Camara M. 19. Iheanacho S. 85. Neves L. 9. Niang M. 30. Ninte M. 13. Raposo C. 46. Sambu B.
Substitutes
5. Alecsandru P. 96. Arroyo J. 22. Dias G. 7. Ferreira D. 44. Gomes C. 39. Karvounis P. 47. Oliveira J. (G) 2. Ramos P.	21. Djalo U. 66. Ferreira J. 11. Goba Zakpa 1. Lemos F. (G) 90. Moreira R. 6. Pinto R. 27. Precatado J. 4. Silva P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Neves L. 🟨,
9', Harramiz S. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Infante A. ⚽,
37', Raposo C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Raposo C. ↓, Moreira R. ↑,
46', Neves L. ↓, Pinto R. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Niang M. ⚽, Ninte M. (A),
72', Infante A. ↓, Arroyo J. ↑,
80', Menezes L. ↓, Gomes C. ↑,
81', Andrey ↓, Goba Zakpa ↑,
82', Beni D. ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
87', Cardoso D. ↓, Karvounis P. ↑,
87', Harramiz S. ↓, Dias G. ↑,
90+2', Ninte M. 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, 1 Dezembro has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mafra is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mafra will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, 1 Dezembro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SU 1 Dezembro
Portuguese Liga 3
04.01.26	União de Santarém - 1 Dezembro	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	1 Dezembro - Atlético CP	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	1 Dezembro - Caldas	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Amora - 1 Dezembro	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	1 Dezembro - Covilhã	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWTT
- CD Mafra
Portuguese Liga 3
03.01.26	Mafra - Caldas	4:2 ✺
20.12.25	Amora - Mafra	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Mafra - Covilhã	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Académica Coimbra - Mafra	3:3 ✺
30.11.25	Mafra - Lusitano GC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
05.10.25	Mafra - 1 Dezembro	3:1

1 Dezembro - Mafra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide