Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 14

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Medideira Stadium (Amora)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Amora		Mafra

	1	X	2
	2.92	3	2.28
	3.04	3.3	2.38
	2.99	3.23	2.35	Watch
	2.9	3	2.3
	3.06	3.16	2.34
	2.85	3.1	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.49)	3.13 ↑ (2.99)	2.32 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amora
31.1%

Draw
29.4%

Mafra
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

30.6%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

31.4%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amora than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amora that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Amora - Mafra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Diego (G) 8. Antunes M. (C) 3. Correia T. 28. Cruz H. 17. Furtado E. 23. Marques F. 77. Pala F. 6. Renzo Trotta 99. Ribeiro E. 71. Semedo D. 37. Wendel	99. Ribeiro L. (G) 3. Alves K. 39. Andrey 5. Beni D. 2. Camara M. 8. Goncalves V. (C) 19. Iheanacho S. 9. Niang M. 30. Ninte M. 13. Raposo C. 46. Sambu B.
Substitutes
19. Barros G. 29. Diop A. 5. Jonnathan Lima 20. Mabuza M. 4. Marlom Oliveira 22. Marques J. 24. Miguel I. (G) 16. Teixeira P. 10. Toni	21. Djalo U. 66. Ferreira J. 11. Goba Zakpa 1. Lemos F. (G) 7. Matos R. 90. Moreira R. 85. Neves L. 6. Pinto R. 27. Precatado J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Niang M. ⚽, Goncalves V. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Goncalves V. ↓, Neves L. ↑,
58', 0 - 2, Niang M. ⚽, Neves L. (A),
60', 1 - 2, Ribeiro E. ⚽, Furtado E. (A),
66', Andrey 🟨,
67', Iheanacho S. ↓, Moreira R. ↑,
67', Ninte M. ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
69', Marques F. ↓, Barros G. ↑,
69', Furtado E. ↓, Toni ↑,
79', Toni 🟨,
82', Andrey ↓, Pinto R. ↑,
82', Niang M. ↓, Matos R. ↑,
88', Renzo Trotta ↓, Marques J. ↑,
88', Ribeiro E. ↓, Diop A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).

Amora is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mafra has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mafra might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Amora won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amora FC
Portuguese Liga 3
14.12.25	União de Santarém - Amora	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Amora - 1 Dezembro	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Caldas - Amora	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Amora - Atlético CP	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Covilhã - Amora	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 TTWTW
- CD Mafra
Portuguese Liga 3
13.12.25	Mafra - Covilhã	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Académica Coimbra - Mafra	3:3 ✺
30.11.25	Mafra - Lusitano GC	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Belenenses - Mafra	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Mafra - Atlético CP	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
11.10.25	Mafra - Amora	2:0

Amora - Mafra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide