Match Info

PORTUGAL: Taça de Portugal - 1/64-finals

Date: 20 September 2024, Friday

Location: Campo Conde de Sucena (Sintra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	1 Dezembro		Oliveirense

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.4	1.8	Watch
	4	3.4	1.8
	4.16	3.38	1.82
	4.18	3.43	1.79	Watch
	4.2	3.4	1.75
	4.31	3.48	1.79
	4	3.4	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↓ (4.56)	3.41 ↓ (3.6)	1.79 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

1 Dezembro
22.3%

Draw
26.8%

Oliveirense
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

25%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

21.1%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

1 Dezembro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1 Dezembro than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

1 Dezembro - Oliveirense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Santos A. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Monteiro M. ⚽,
45', Veiga T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', Valente A. 🟨,
83', Bernardo J. 🟨,
84', Sabino 🟨,
85', 1 - 1, Cardoso D. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 1, Rosario T. ⚽,
90+7', Rosario T. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches 1 Dezembro is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oliveirense is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Oliveirense is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SU 1 Dezembro
Portuguese Liga 3
14.09.24	1 Dezembro - União de Santarém	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Oliveira Hospital - 1 Dezembro	3:0 ✺
24.08.24	1 Dezembro - Covilhã	3:1 ✺
10.08.24	1 Dezembro - Belenenses	0:0 ✺
04.08.24	Atlético CP - 1 Dezembro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TLWTW
- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
15.09.24	Benfica B - Oliveirense	2:2 ✺
31.08.24	Oliveirense - Leixões	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Torreense - Oliveirense	3:0 ✺
17.08.24	Oliveirense - Mafra	0:0 ✺
11.08.24	Penafiel - Oliveirense	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLLTL

Upcoming Matches