Match Info

Date: 27 October 2022, Thursday

Location: Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio (Itauguá)

Referee: Lopez D. (Par)


	12 de Octubre		Sportivo Ameliano

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	2	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.05
	3	3.3	2.16
	3.25	3.3	2.07
	3.57	3.38	2.19
	3.4	3.1	2.05	Watch
	3.34	3.38	2.06	Watch
	3.3	3.35	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (2.88)	3.26 ↑ (3.1)	2.09 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

12 de Octubre
27.8%

Draw
28.2%

Sportivo Ameliano
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

29.3%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

28%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

12 de Octubre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Sportivo Ameliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 12 de Octubre than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for 12 de Octubre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportivo Ameliano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	35.3%	47.1%

12 de Octubre - Sportivo Ameliano Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. 12 de Octubre will win (votes: 6 - 17.6%). Sportivo Ameliano will win (votes: 16 - 47.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sportivo Ameliano: 30.3% – 63.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 8).

12 de Octubre is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sportivo Ameliano is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sportivo Ameliano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sportivo Ameliano will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches 12 de Octubre won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams 12 de Octubre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 12 de Octubre FC
Paraguayan Primera Division
21.10.22	Tacuary - 12 de Octubre	5:1 ✺
14.10.22	12 de Octubre - Guaireña	0:0 ✺
09.10.22	Libertad Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	2:2 ✺
06.10.22	12 de Octubre - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
03.10.22	Nacional Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTTLL
- Sportivo Ameliano
Paraguayan Primera Division
22.10.22	Sportivo Ameliano - Resistencia	3:2 ✺
Copa Paraguay
19.10.22	Atlético Tembetary - Sportivo Ameliano	1:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
15.10.22	General Caballero JLM - Sportivo Ameliano	2:0 ✺
09.10.22	Sportivo Ameliano - Olimpia Asuncion	0:2 ✺
05.10.22	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Ameliano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
28.08.22	Sportivo Ameliano - 12 de Octubre	2:0
06.05.22	Sportivo Ameliano - 12 de Octubre	2:2
18.02.22	12 de Octubre - Sportivo Ameliano	2:1

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