Match Info

Date: 14 October 2022, Friday

Location: Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio (Itauguá)


	12 de Octubre		Guaireña

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.87	2.25	Watch
	3.1	2.85	2.2
	3.05	2.88	2.35
	3.1	2.95	2.32
	3.55	3.02	2.38
	3.3	2.9	2.2	Watch
	3.2	3.08	2.25	Watch
	3.15	3	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.96)	2.94 ↑ (2.88)	2.29 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

12 de Octubre
28.6%

Draw
31.2%

Guaireña
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

32.2%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

32.3%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

12 de Octubre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Guaireña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 12 de Octubre than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaireña than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32%	20%	48%

12 de Octubre - Guaireña Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. 12 de Octubre will win (votes: 8 - 32%). Guaireña will win (votes: 12 - 48%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guaireña: 28.4% – 67.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches 12 de Octubre won 1.

12 de Octubre has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Guaireña is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches 12 de Octubre won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-14.

Including matches at home between the teams 12 de Octubre won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 12 de Octubre FC
Paraguayan Primera Division
09.10.22	Libertad Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	2:2 ✺
06.10.22	12 de Octubre - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
03.10.22	Nacional Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
27.09.22	12 de Octubre - Atlético Tembetary	1:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.09.22	12 de Octubre - Sol de América	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLLLL
- Guaireña FC
Paraguayan Primera Division
10.10.22	Guaireña - Resistencia	3:2 ✺
05.10.22	General Caballero JLM - Guaireña	0:0 ✺
02.10.22	Guaireña - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Copa Paraguay
27.09.22	Guaireña - Sportivo Ameliano	0:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
23.09.22	Sportivo Ameliano - Guaireña	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
13.08.22	Guaireña - 12 de Octubre	2:1
30.05.22	12 de Octubre - Guaireña	0:4
14.03.22	Guaireña - 12 de Octubre	0:0
19.11.21	12 de Octubre - Guaireña	0:0
30.08.21	Guaireña - 12 de Octubre	0:1
15.05.21	12 de Octubre - Guaireña	1:1
09.03.21	Guaireña - 12 de Octubre	0:0

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