Match Info

PARAGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 19

Date: 7 November 2023, Tuesday


	Guaireña		Sportivo Ameliano

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.3	2
	3.1	3.3	2
	3.25	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.5	3.6	2.12
	3.5	3.6	2.12
	3.1	3.4	2
	3.28	3.52	2.03
	3.1	3.5	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.54)	3.47 ↑ (3.35)	2.06 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaireña
28.3%

Draw
26.7%

Sportivo Ameliano
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

27.5%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

27.1%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaireña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guaireña's form might have worsened.

Sportivo Ameliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sportivo Ameliano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaireña than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guaireña, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportivo Ameliano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Guaireña - Sportivo Ameliano Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Guaireña will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Sportivo Ameliano will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Finochietto L. (G) 2. Gimenez A. 6. Paniagua M. 14. Britez E. 16. Paiz J. 5. Gonzalez J. 37. Comas L. 24. Aguilar J. 31. Franco Zayas A. F. 7. Parzajuk K. 9. Verdun J.	1. Papaleo J. (G) 26. Gonzalez J. 13. Cabrera W. 3. Gutierrez T. 19. Paredes A. 5. Maiz A. 8. Anibal 40. Contrera A. 4. Adorno M. 11. Vera E. 9. Bareiro S.
Substitutes
22. Borja E. 33. Coronel P. 10. Duarte C. 11. Martinez A. 21. Rojas T. 13. Toledo O. (G) 20. Toledo R.	6. Barreto D. 2. Benitez H. 10. Benitez M. 25. Benitez O. (G) 7. Samudio A. 17. Torales Richard 18. Vega A.
Coaches
Ovelar H.	Garcia H.

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 11 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guaireña won 0.

Recent matches Guaireña is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sportivo Ameliano is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sportivo Ameliano will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Guaireña won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Guaireña won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaireña FC
Paraguayan Primera Division
03.11.23	Guaireña - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Guaireña	0:0 ✺
22.10.23	Guaireña - Nacional Asuncion	0:0 ✺
18.10.23	Tacuary - Guaireña	1:3 ✺
07.10.23	Guaireña - Libertad Asuncion	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LTTWL
- Sportivo Ameliano
Paraguayan Primera Division
01.11.23	Sportivo Ameliano - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
28.10.23	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	2:1 ✺
23.10.23	Sportivo Ameliano - Tacuary	2:1 ✺
20.10.23	Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	3:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
14.10.23	Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo Trinidense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
25.08.23	Sportivo Ameliano - Guaireña	4:0
22.05.23	Sportivo Ameliano - Guaireña	1:1
18.03.23	Guaireña - Sportivo Ameliano	0:1
Copa Paraguay
27.09.22	Guaireña - Sportivo Ameliano	0:2
Paraguayan Primera Division
23.09.22	Sportivo Ameliano - Guaireña	2:0
19.07.22	Guaireña - Sportivo Ameliano	3:1
27.06.22	Sportivo Ameliano - Guaireña	2:2

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