Match Info

Date: 4 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio (Itauguá)


	12 de Octubre		Olimpia Asuncion

	1	X	2
	7	4.33	1.4	Watch
	6.75	4.33	1.38
	7	4.1	1.4	Watch
	7	4.4	1.39
	8.22	4.37	1.45
	8	4.2	1.35	Watch
	6.9	4.5	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.27 ↓ (8.5)	4.32 ↑ (4.24)	1.4 (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

12 de Octubre
12.7%

Draw
21.3%

Olimpia Asuncion
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11%

22.1%

66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.7%

21.5%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

12 de Octubre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Olimpia Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 12 de Octubre than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	8.3%	83.3%

12 de Octubre - Olimpia Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: Olimpia Asuncion will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches 12 de Octubre won 1.

12 de Octubre is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Olimpia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

12 de Octubre could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Olimpia is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches 12 de Octubre won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11-26.

Including matches at home between the teams 12 de Octubre won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 12 de Octubre FC
Paraguayan Primera Division
28.08.22	Sportivo Ameliano - 12 de Octubre	2:0 ✺
20.08.22	12 de Octubre - Tacuary	0:2 ✺
13.08.22	Guaireña - 12 de Octubre	2:1 ✺
Copa Paraguay
09.08.22	River Plate Asunción - 12 de Octubre	1:4 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
06.08.22	12 de Octubre - Libertad Asuncion	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLWL
- Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
27.08.22	Olimpia Asuncion - Resistencia	1:1 ✺
20.08.22	General Caballero JLM - Olimpia Asuncion	0:2 ✺
14.08.22	Olimpia Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	2:0 ✺
07.08.22	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	2:0 ✺
30.07.22	Tacuary - Olimpia Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
26.06.22	Olimpia Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	4:1
16.04.22	12 de Octubre - Olimpia Asuncion	0:0
01.10.21	Olimpia Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	1:2
26.07.21	12 de Octubre - Olimpia Asuncion	1:3
10.04.21	Olimpia Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	2:2
10.02.21	12 de Octubre - Olimpia Asuncion	0:2
11.11.20	Olimpia Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	2:1

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