Match Info

Date: 6 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio (Itauguá)

Referee: Diaz de Vivar M. (Par)


	12 de Octubre		Libertad Asuncion

	1	X	2
	7	4	1.44	Watch
	6.25	4	1.43
	6.75	3.75	1.47
	6.4	4.2	1.44
	8.02	4.34	1.47
	6	3.9	1.47	Watch
	6.9	4.3	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.76 ↑ (6.24)	4.07 ↑ (3.68)	1.45 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

12 de Octubre
13.6%

Draw
22.7%

Libertad Asuncion
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.9%

25.3%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6%

27.7%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

12 de Octubre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

The ML Model estimate for 12 de Octubre aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

12 de Octubre - Libertad Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. 12 de Octubre will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Libertad will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Libertad: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches 12 de Octubre won 0.

12 de Octubre is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Libertad is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Libertad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Libertad is indisputable favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches 12 de Octubre won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 9-32.

Including matches at home between the teams 12 de Octubre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 12 de Octubre FC
Paraguayan Primera Division
31.07.22	Guaraní Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	0:1 ✺
25.07.22	12 de Octubre - Nacional Asuncion	1:2 ✺
20.07.22	Sol de América - 12 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
17.07.22	Cerro Porteño - 12 de Octubre	2:1 ✺
03.07.22	12 de Octubre - General Caballero JLM	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLLL
- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
31.07.22	Libertad Asuncion - Resistencia	4:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
27.07.22	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Libertad Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.07.22	General Caballero JLM - Libertad Asuncion	3:2 ✺
19.07.22	Libertad Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	4:2 ✺
16.07.22	Sportivo Ameliano - Libertad Asuncion	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
23.04.22	Libertad Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	4:0
05.02.22	12 de Octubre - Libertad Asuncion	1:6
30.10.21	12 de Octubre - Libertad Asuncion	0:1
15.08.21	Libertad Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	3:3
09.05.21	Libertad Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	3:1
05.03.21	12 de Octubre - Libertad Asuncion	2:1
28.11.20	Libertad Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	3:0

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