Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 25

Date: 21 February 2025, Friday

Location: Grünwalder Stadion (Munich)

Referee: Eckermann M. P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 10
Croatia	SportKlub 10
Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport, tv.dfb.de
Montenegro	Sportklub 10
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 10
Serbia	SportKlub 10
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App
World	Onefootball


	1860 München		Arminia Bielefeld

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.15
	3.05	3.1	2.19
	3.3	3.41	2.25
	3.18	3.36	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.2
	3.04	3.37	2.26	Watch
	3.05	3.1	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↓ (3.16)	3.25 ↓ (3.26)	2.21 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

1860 München
29.6%

Draw
28.4%

Arminia Bielefeld
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

28.7%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

28.2%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for 1860 München have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1860 München than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	20%	66.7%

1860 München - Arminia Bielefeld Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. 1860 München will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Arminia will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arminia: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hiller M. (G) 20. Reich L. 4. Verlaat J. (C) 16. Reinthaler M. 3. Lucoqui A. 5. Jacobsen T. 26. Maier P. 9. Abiama D. 7. Guttau J. 30. Wolfram M. 34. Hobsch P.	1. Kersken J. (G) 24. Lannert C. 23. Schneider L. 3. Felix J. 2. Hagmann F. 38. Worl M. 21. Russo S. 6. Corboz M. (C) 37. Sarenren Bazee N. J. 28. Uldrikis R. 11. Grodowski J.
Substitutes
28. Bahr F. 2. Danhof T. 25. Dulic S. 37. Frey M. 18. Kloss T. 14. Kozuki S. 27. Ott R. 8. Philipp D. 11. Vollath R. (G)	17. Biankadi M. 10. Boujellab N. 19. Grosser M. 7. Kania J. 13. Kunze L. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 4. Oppie L. 8. Schreck S. 22. Schroers M.
Coaches
Glockner P.	Kniat M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', Grodowski J. 🟨,
33', Lannert C. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Grodowski J. ⚽, Uldrikis R. (A),
41', Felix J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Hobsch P. ↓, Kozuki S. ↑,
46', Jacobsen T. ↓, Frey M. ↑,
59', Verlaat J. 🟨,
61', Reich L. ↓, Danhof T. ↑,
70', Worl M. ↓, Kunze L. ↑,
70', Sarenren Bazee N. J. ↓, Schreck S. ↑,
71', Lucoqui A. 🟨,
74', Kunze L. 🟨,
81', Abiama D. ↓, Ott R. ↑,
81', Grodowski J. ↓, Grosser M. ↑,
83', 0 - 2, Uldrikis R. ⚽, Kunze L. (A),
84', Lucoqui A. ↓, Bahr F. ↑,
90', Uldrikis R. ↓, Kania J. ↑,
90', Lannert C. ↓, Oppie L. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 3, Kania J. ⚽, Oppie L. (A),

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches 1860 München won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Arminia will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in 1860 München: Bangerter M. (Muscle Injury) Schroter M. (Injury)

There are questionable in 1860 München: Schifferl R. (Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches 1860 München won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:11 (average 0.9:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams 1860 München won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Arminia Bielefeld - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.63%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1860 München
German 3 Bundesliga
16.02.25	Dynamo Dresden - 1860 München	5:2 ✺
08.02.25	1860 München - Ingolstadt	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Viktoria Köln - 1860 München	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	1860 München - VfB Stuttgart II	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Saarbrücken - 1860 München	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTWTL
- Arminia Bielefeld
German 3 Bundesliga
15.02.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Erzgebirge Aue	2:1 ✺
07.02.25	Sandhausen - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:2 ✺
26.01.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Arminia Bielefeld	0:4 ✺
18.01.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Energie Cottbus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
21.09.24	Arminia Bielefeld - 1860 München	0:1
18.05.24	1860 München - Arminia Bielefeld	0:2
17.12.23	Arminia Bielefeld - 1860 München	2:0
Club Friendly
17.01.19	Arminia Bielefeld - 1860 München	2:1
German 2 Bundesliga
03.02.17	Arminia Bielefeld - 1860 München	2:1
14.08.16	1860 München - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0
20.03.16	1860 München - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1

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