Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Río Parapití (Pedro Juan Caballero)

Referee: de Vivar M. D. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	2 de Mayo		Guaraní Asuncion

	1	X	2
	2.80	2.90	2.40	Watch
	2.75	2.80	2.50
	2.70	3.00	2.55	Watch
	3.04	2.77	2.59
	2.9	3.13	2.5	Watch
	2.60	2.90	2.90
	2.79	3.03	2.62	Watch
	2.75	2.80	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.7)	2.92 ↓ (3.05)	2.57 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

2 de Mayo
32.9%

Draw
31.5%

Guaraní Asuncion
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

30.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

30.5%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

2 de Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 2 de Mayo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

2 de Mayo - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Guaraní (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guaraní (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rossi N. (G) 23. Espinola A. 21. Sosa P. (C) 3. Villalba A. 19. Castro C. 16. Gomez M. 40. Gonzalez M. 8. Aguilera A. D. 24. Romero O. 30. Farina A. 18. Silvero F.	31. Martinez M. (G) 4. Mendez A. 14. Rodriguez Echeverria R. O. 2. Segovia I. 15. Servin T. 5. Tanda P. 26. Fernandez D. 29. Llano J. 8. Lopez M. 10. Anasco M. 11. Garcia J. (C)
Substitutes
26. Aguayo A. 7. Caceres Aguero F. M. 25. Cervera T. 11. Coronel U. 37. Delgadillo L. 20. Diaz E. 10. Gomez A. 2. Gomez R. 27. Moya M. 22. Portillo Avalos T. G. 32. Ramirez M. (G) 9. Sanguina J.	21. Arrua C. 17. Cespedes V. 38. Coronel P. 24. Espinola J. 7. Franco E. 35. Gonzalez P. 19. Ibarra A. 34. Maldonado M. 13. Martinez A. (G) 36. Martinez L. 20. Quinonez R. 6. Riveros P.
Coaches
Ledesma E.	Galeano A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Silvero F. ↓, Caceres Aguero F. M. ↑,
46', Aguilera A. D. ↓, Portillo Avalos T. G. ↑,
58', Gonzalez M. ↓, Moya M. ↑,
63', Anasco M. ↓, Cespedes V. ↑,
67', Gomez M. 🟨,
68', Romero O. ↓, Sanguina J. ↑,
71', Lopez M. ↓, Arrua C. ↑,
71', Mendez A. ↓, Riveros P. ↑,
81', Servin T. ↓, Coronel P. ↑,
81', Llano J. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
85', Espinola A. ↓, Cervera T. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 2 de Mayo won 2.

2 de Mayo is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Guaraní has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Guaraní may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, 2 de Mayo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, 2 de Mayo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	2 de Mayo	13	7	4	2	16:13	3	25
6	Guarani	13	5	6	2	14:10	4	21

Last Results with these Odds

2 de Mayo - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 33.97%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Guaraní Asuncion - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.96%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS 2 de Mayo
Copa Paraguay
20.08.26	Humaitá - 2 de Mayo	1:4 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
14.08.26	Deportivo Recoleta - 2 de Mayo	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	2 de Mayo - Olimpia Asuncion	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Sportivo Ameliano - 2 de Mayo	1:1 ✺
28.07.26	2 de Mayo - Cerro Porteño	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 WWWTW
- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
15.08.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	2:3 ✺
Copa Paraguay
12.08.26	Sportivo Iteño - Guaraní Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
09.08.26	Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
02.08.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	2:1 ✺
30.07.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
26.04.26	2 de Mayo - Guaraní Asuncion	2:2
25.03.26	Guaraní Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	1:1
Copa Paraguay
05.11.25	2 de Mayo - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0
Paraguayan Primera Division
12.09.25	2 de Mayo - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0
06.07.25	Guaraní Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	3:1
16.04.25	Guaraní Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	0:1
Copa Sudamericana
06.03.25	Guaraní Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	2:0

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