Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Río Parapití (Pedro Juan Caballero) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	17:00	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	17:00	Tigo Sports
Usa	16:00	Fanatiz


	2 de Mayo		Sportivo Ameliano

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.10	2.55	Watch
	2.40	3.00	2.60
	2.50	3.00	2.80	Watch
	2.53	3.16	3.09
	2.63	3.16	2.72	Watch
	2.50	3.10	2.85
	2.64	3.21	2.64	Watch
	2.48	3.10	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.4)	3.1 ↑ (3.05)	2.74 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

2 de Mayo
36.5%

Draw
29.8%

Sportivo Ameliano
33.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.2%

30%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

30.3%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

2 de Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Sportivo Ameliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 2 de Mayo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

2 de Mayo - Sportivo Ameliano Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. 2 de Mayo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Sportivo Ameliano will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - 2 de Mayo (2.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. 2 de Mayo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rossi N. (G) 23. Espinola A. 21. Sosa P. (C) 6. Ramirez Perdesen C. G. 19. Castro C. 16. Gomez M. 27. Moya M. 37. Delgadillo L. 30. Farina A. 10. Gomez A. 25. Cervera T.	35. Sanchez A. (G) 13. Peralta R. 26. Gonzalez J. (C) 22. Falabella A. 19. Paredes A. 15. Rodriguez W. 7. Vera F. 20. Larralde V. 10. Cabral R. 14. Paez E. 9. Ocampos C.
Substitutes
8. Aguilera A. D. 7. Caceres Aguero F. M. 11. Coronel U. 17. Delvalle P. 20. Diaz E. 22. Portillo Avalos T. G. 32. Ramirez M. (G) 24. Romero O. 5. Saiz C. 4. Sanabria T. 9. Sanguina J. 3. Villalba A.	24. Ayala L. 1. Balbuena J. (G) 5. Benitez H. 6. Benitez J. 25. Bruno L. 32. Camargo G. M. 40. Contrera A. 21. Franco F. 8. Moreira E. 18. Ortiz L. 34. Suarez L. 17. Torales R.
Coaches
Ledesma E.	Nanni R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Espinola A. 🟨,
40', Delgadillo L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, Gomez A. ⚽, Farina A. (A),
58', Delgadillo L. ↓, Romero O. ↑,
64', Moya M. ↓, Delvalle P. ↑,
66', Larralde V. ↓, Moreira E. ↑,
66', Paez E. ↓, Ortiz L. ↑,
73', Peralta R. ↓, Franco F. ↑,
73', Rodriguez W. ↓, Torales R. ↑,
74', Farina A. ↓, Caceres Aguero F. M. ↑,
74', Espinola A. ↓, Villalba A. ↑,
74', Gomez A. ↓, Portillo Avalos T. G. ↑,
90+4', Gomez M. 🟨,
90+5', Franco F. 🟨,
90+7', Paredes A. 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 3rd and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 2 de Mayo won 1.

Recent results have been tough for 2 de Mayo (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Sportivo Ameliano have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, 2 de Mayo has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:19 (averaging 1.3:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for 2 de Mayo against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 7:12 goals (averaging 1.2:2 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	2 de Mayo	16	8	5	3	18:17	1	29
8	Ameliano	16	4	7	5	19:21	-2	19

Last Results with these Odds

2 de Mayo - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.16%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Sportivo Ameliano - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.8%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS 2 de Mayo
Paraguayan Primera Division
05.10.26	Cerro Porteño - 2 de Mayo	0:2 ✺
26.09.26	Rubio Ñu - 2 de Mayo	2:2 ✺
Copa Paraguay
22.09.26	2 de Mayo - Sol de América	0:4 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
18.09.26	Nacional Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	3:0 ✺
11.09.26	2 de Mayo - Libertad Asuncion	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTLLL
- Sportivo Ameliano
Paraguayan Primera Division
06.10.26	Sportivo Ameliano - Rubio Ñu	1:2 ✺
25.09.26	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Ameliano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
01.08.26	Sportivo Ameliano - 2 de Mayo	1:1
10.04.26	2 de Mayo - Sportivo Ameliano	1:2
14.02.26	Sportivo Ameliano - 2 de Mayo	3:0
10.11.25	Sportivo Ameliano - 2 de Mayo	2:3
23.08.25	2 de Mayo - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1
21.04.25	2 de Mayo - Sportivo Ameliano	1:4
10.02.25	Sportivo Ameliano - 2 de Mayo	1:1

Upcoming Matches