The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
2 de Mayo 35.1%
Draw 30.7%
Sportivo Ameliano 34.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.2%
30%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.6%
30.3%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
2 de Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Sportivo Ameliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for 2 de Mayo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
2 de Mayo - Sportivo Ameliano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 2nd and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 2 de Mayo won 1.
2 de Mayo is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Sportivo Ameliano has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Sportivo Ameliano could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, 2 de Mayo has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:19 (averaging 1.3:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for 2 de Mayo against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 7:12 goals (averaging 1.2:2 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
2 de Mayo
13
7
4
2
16:13
3
25
7
Ameliano
13
4
6
3
15:15
0
18
Last Results with these Odds
2 de Mayo - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.16%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Sportivo Ameliano - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.8%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
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