The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
2 de Mayo 44.7%
Draw 29.7%
Sportivo Luqueño 25.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.6%
29.7%
31.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.5%
29%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
2 de Mayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in 2 de Mayo's performance.
Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo Luqueño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for 2 de Mayo than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with 2 de Mayo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sportivo Luqueño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
2 de Mayo - Sportivo Luqueño Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. 2 de Mayo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rossi N. (G) 23. Espinola A. (C) 3. Villalba A. 6. Ramirez Perdesen C. G. 19. Castro C. 16. Gomez M. 40. Gonzalez M. 24. Romero O. 30. Farina A. 10. Gomez A. 18. Silvero F.
12. Mongelos F. (G) 4. Morales L. 5. Diaz J. 6. Wiechniak F. 23. Cantero A. 21. Ojeda M. 10. Bogado G. 15. Maldonado S. 11. Ruiz O. 20. Maggi I. (C) 29. Muro T.
Substitutes
26. Aguayo A. 8. Aguilera A. D. 7. Caceres Aguero F. M. 25. Cervera T. 11. Coronel U. 2. Gomez R. 27. Moya M. 22. Portillo Avalos T. G. 32. Ramirez M. (G) 5. Saiz C. 9. Sanguina J. 21. Sosa P.
28. Balbuena A. 24. Beltran S. 14. Benitez F. 1. Campisi N. (G) 9. Gonzalez W. 26. Lopez O. 34. Martinez Cubilla A. M. 22. Ocampos S. 7. Pereira K. 19. Perez M. 25. Ramos J. 32. Riveros M.
Coaches
Ledesma E.
Lopez R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Muro T. ⚽, Maggi I. (A),
21', Gomez M. 🟨,
30', Silvero F. ↓, Caceres Aguero F. M. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Gonzalez M. ↓, Moya M. ↑,
46', Maldonado S. ↓, Benitez F. ↑,
46', Ojeda M. ↓, Ocampos S. ↑,
56', Romero O. ↓, Cervera T. ↑,
56', Gomez A. ↓, Portillo Avalos T. G. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Caceres Aguero F. M. ⚽, Moya M. (A),
66', Muro T. ↓, Beltran S. ↑,
67', Benitez F. 🟨,
69', Diaz J. 🟨,
73', Ruiz O. ↓, Balbuena A. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Moya M. ⚽,
82', Moya M. 🟨,
82', Bogado G. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
84', Moya M. 🟨,
85', Cervera T. ↓, Saiz C. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 2, Morales L. ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 2 de Mayo won 3.
2 de Mayo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Sportivo Luqueño has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
2 de Mayo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
2 de Mayo might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, 2 de Mayo won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, 2 de Mayo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).