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Current Win Probability
2 de Mayo 44.8%
Draw 30.4%
Sportivo Trinidense 24.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.1%
30.2%
37.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.6%
29.7%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
2 de Mayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in 2 de Mayo's performance.
Sportivo Trinidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo Trinidense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for 2 de Mayo than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with 2 de Mayo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (+13.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sportivo Trinidense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
0%
20%
2 de Mayo - Sportivo Trinidense Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. 2 de Mayo will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Sportivo Trinidense will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. 2 de Mayo (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - 2 de Mayo (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - 2 de Mayo (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. 2 de Mayo (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Martinez A. (G) 15. Davalos Valdez V. 21. Sosa P. (C) 5. Saiz C. 11. Coronel U. 20. Sanabria S. 10. Gomez A. 24. Romero O. 30. Farina A. 17. Delvalle P. 9. Ruiz Diaz R.
12. Samudio V. (G) 6. Canete A. 34. Roman Torales F. J. 4. Melgarejo D. 31. Morinigo A. 24. Baruja F. 16. Marcelino J. 37. Gonzalez L. 22. Zarza P. 18. Romero F. (C) 19. Cano Esteche A. B.
Substitutes
27. Acosta D. 7. Alfonso E. 13. Ayala W. 2. Barreto M. 23. Caceres Aguero F. M. 8. Colman O. 32. Diaz J. 16. Espinola A. 22. Gaona W. 3. Ibarrola W. 4. Rodriguez Echeverria R. O. 28. Urquiza M. (G)
11. Baez Mendoza R. 13. Baez R. 23. Benitez C. 35. Benitez J. 40. Da Silveira A. 8. De la Cruz L. 1. Dufour M. (G) 9. Gimenez O. 20. Gonzalez C. 28. Leguizamon B. 14. Mendoza S. 29. Rayer T.
Coaches
Ledesma E.
Arrua J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Sosa P. ↓, Barreto M. ↑,
22', Davalos Valdez V. 🟨,
31', Baruja F. 🟨,
45+3', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Cano Esteche A. B. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
58', Romero F. ↓, Gimenez O. ↑,
58', Zarza P. ↓, Rayer T. ↑,
59', Romero O. ↓, Acosta D. ↑,
59', Farina A. ↓, Ayala W. ↑,
65', Marcelino J. ↓, De la Cruz L. ↑,
65', Gomez A. 🟨,
71', Baruja F. ↓, Baez Mendoza R. ↑,
75', De la Cruz L. 🟨,
82', Delvalle P. ↓, Alfonso E. ↑,
82', Ruiz Diaz R. ↓, Caceres Aguero F. M. ↑,
85', 1 - 0, Caceres Aguero F. M. ⚽,
88', Roman Torales F. J. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 2 de Mayo won 0.
Recent form of 2 de Mayo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Sportivo Trinidense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
2 de Mayo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, 2 de Mayo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, 2 de Mayo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
2 de Mayo
13
7
4
2
16:13
3
25
5
Sportivo Trinidense
13
7
2
4
23:13
10
23
Last Results with these Odds
2 de Mayo - the odds 2.91 are the expected chance of winning is 32.1%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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Martinez A. (G) 
Saiz C. 
Gonzalez L. 
Da Silveira A. 
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