Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Río Parapití (Pedro Juan Caballero) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Juliadoza G. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	19:20	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	19:20	Tigo Sports
Usa	18:20	Fanatiz


	2 de Mayo		Deportivo Recoleta

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.30	3.50	Watch
	1.98	3.20	3.25
	2.28	3.40	3.05	Watch
	2.01	3.48	3.90
	2.22	3.39	3.15	Watch
	2.08	3.35	3.50
	2.02	3.43	3.54	Watch
	1.96	3.35	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.3)	3.36 ↑ (3.34)	3.43 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

2 de Mayo
45.2%

Draw
27.7%

Deportivo Recoleta
27.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.6%

28%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

27%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

2 de Mayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Deportivo Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 2 de Mayo than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

2 de Mayo - Deportivo Recoleta Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. 2 de Mayo will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Recoleta will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rossi N. (G) 2. Gomez R. 21. Sosa P. (C) 3. Villalba A. 19. Castro C. 16. Gomez M. 10. Gomez A. 37. Delgadillo L. 30. Farina A. 27. Moya M. 25. Cervera T.	13. Toledo O. (G) 14. Figueredo C. 4. Pereira M. 5. Marotta N. 18. Rios P. 17. Baez W. 38. Franco A. 21. Garay C. (C) 31. Schupp M. 25. Martino R. 24. Vidal T.
Substitutes
26. Aguayo A. 8. Aguilera A. D. 7. Caceres Aguero F. M. 11. Coronel U. 17. Delvalle P. 20. Diaz E. 40. Gonzalez M. 32. Ramirez M. (G) 6. Ramirez Perdesen C. G. 24. Romero O. 5. Saiz C. 9. Sanguina J.	3. Cardozo L. 7. Dominguez R. 6. Espinola J. 36. Ferreira B. 33. Gonzalez A. 1. Marsengo A. (G) 34. Masi M. 15. Medina B. 28. Mendoza L. 23. Nunez J. 11. Parzajuk K. 10. Silva A.
Coaches
Ledesma E.	Gonzalez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Schupp M. 🟨,
32', Marotta N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Schupp M. ↓, Ferreira B. ↑,
58', 0 - 1, Ferreira B. ⚽, Martino R. (A),
64', Vidal T. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
64', Garay C. ↓, Espinola J. ↑,
65', Delgadillo L. ↓, Caceres Aguero F. M. ↑,
66', Gomez A. ↓, Delvalle P. ↑,
76', Moya M. ↓, Diaz E. ↑,
76', Cervera T. ↓, Sanguina J. ↑,
77', Farina A. ↓, Aguilera A. D. ↑,
78', Castro C. 🟨,
81', Martino R. ↓, Parzajuk K. ↑,
82', Marsengo A. 🟨,
83', Baez W. ↓, Medina B. ↑,
90+2', Sanguina J. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Gomez M. ⚽, Caceres Aguero F. M. (A),

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 4th and 11th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 2 de Mayo won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

2 de Mayo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

2 de Mayo is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, 2 de Mayo has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:18 (averaging 1.4:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for 2 de Mayo against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 0:7 goals (averaging 0:2.3 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	2 de Mayo	16	8	5	3	18:17	1	29
11	Recoleta	16	3	3	10	16:28	-12	12

Last Results with these Odds

2 de Mayo - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.6%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS 2 de Mayo
Paraguayan Primera Division
17.10.26	Olimpia Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	3:0 ✺
12.10.26	2 de Mayo - Sportivo Ameliano	1:0 ✺
05.10.26	Cerro Porteño - 2 de Mayo	0:2 ✺
26.09.26	Rubio Ñu - 2 de Mayo	2:2 ✺
Copa Paraguay
22.09.26	2 de Mayo - Sol de América	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWWTL
- Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.10.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Rubio Ñu	1:0 ✺
12.10.26	Nacional Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	1:0 ✺
05.10.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Libertad Asuncion	1:2 ✺
28.09.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Deportivo Recoleta	0:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
24.09.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Guaireña	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
14.08.26	Deportivo Recoleta - 2 de Mayo	1:2
18.04.26	Deportivo Recoleta - 2 de Mayo	5:0
20.02.26	2 de Mayo - Deportivo Recoleta	0:1
21.11.25	2 de Mayo - Deportivo Recoleta	0:2
30.08.25	Deportivo Recoleta - 2 de Mayo	2:0
10.04.25	2 de Mayo - Deportivo Recoleta	0:4
28.01.25	Deportivo Recoleta - 2 de Mayo	0:2

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