Match Info

Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Río Parapití (Pedro Juan Caballero)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	2 de Mayo		Deportivo Recoleta

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.25	Watch
	2.8	2.95	2.35
	3.1	3	2.3	Watch
	3.38	3.02	2.37
	3.11	3.07	2.4	Watch
	3.19	3.09	2.32	Watch
	3.2	3	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.88)	3.02 ↓ (3.12)	2.33 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

2 de Mayo
29.6%

Draw
30.6%

Deportivo Recoleta
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

29.9%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

29.4%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

2 de Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 2 de Mayo than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

2 de Mayo - Deportivo Recoleta Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez A. (G) 4. Rodriguez Echeverria R. O. 21. Sosa P. (C) 2. Barreto M. 11. Coronel U. 32. Diaz J. 7. Alfonso E. 8. Colman O. 13. Ayala W. 31. Riquelme H. 27. Acosta D.	12. Ferreira N. (G) 2. Echeguren Zarza F. A. 5. Marotta N. 32. Monzon L. 25. Mosquera D. 17. Baez W. (C) 6. Espinola J. 38. Franco A. 10. Noguera J. 33. Gonzalez A. 29. Wlk A.
Substitutes
23. Caceres Aguero F. M. 15. Davalos Valdez V. 37. Delgadillo L. 17. Delvalle P. 16. Espinola A. 22. Gaona W. 10. Gomez A. 6. Maidana E. 24. Romero O. 5. Saiz C. 20. Sanabria S. 28. Urquiza M. (G)	20. Canete M. 27. Dominguez Castillo J. C. 7. Dominguez R. 8. Galeano F. 19. Lopez H. 1. Marsengo A. (G) 9. Ortiz R. 22. Pacher F. 11. Parzajuk K. 4. Pereira M. 18. Rios P. 16. Vera C.
Coaches
Ledesma E.	Gonzalez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Marotta N. ⚽, Baez W. (A),
27', Acosta D. 🟨,
32', Mosquera D. ↓, Rios P. ↑,
35', Espinola J. 🟨,
45+1', Rodriguez Echeverria R. O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Alfonso E. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
46', Riquelme H. ↓, Gaona W. ↑,
46', Ayala W. ↓, Delvalle P. ↑,
50', Monzon L. 🟨,
69', Gonzalez A. ↓, Parzajuk K. ↑,
69', Noguera J. ↓, Lopez H. ↑,
71', Colman O. ↓, Caceres Aguero F. M. ↑,
86', Diaz J. ↓, Romero O. ↑,
86', Baez W. ↓, Pacher F. ↑,
87', Wlk A. ↓, Ortiz R. ↑,
90+2', Ferreira N. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 6).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recoleta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recoleta will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 2 de Mayo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.8:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, 2 de Mayo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	2 de Mayo	13	7	4	2	16:13	3	25
11	Recoleta	13	2	2	9	14:26	-12	8

Last Results with these Odds

2 de Mayo - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.42%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS 2 de Mayo
Copa Libertadores
17.02.26	2 de Mayo - Sporting Cristal	2:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
14.02.26	Sportivo Ameliano - 2 de Mayo	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
11.02.26	Alianza Lima - 2 de Mayo	1:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
07.02.26	2 de Mayo - Cerro Porteño	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.02.26	2 de Mayo - Alianza Lima	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TLTTW
- Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Primera Division
13.02.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Luqueño	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Deportivo Recoleta	0:3 ✺
02.02.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Libertad Asuncion	2:1 ✺
29.01.26	Rubio Ñu - Deportivo Recoleta	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Trinidense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
21.11.25	2 de Mayo - Deportivo Recoleta	0:2
30.08.25	Deportivo Recoleta - 2 de Mayo	2:0
10.04.25	2 de Mayo - Deportivo Recoleta	0:4
28.01.25	Deportivo Recoleta - 2 de Mayo	0:2
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
05.05.23	Deportivo Recoleta - 2 de Mayo	3:7

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