Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Alberto Gallardo (Lima)

Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 2, ESPN
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	Disney+, ESPN Premium
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Spain	LaLiga+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	Sporting Cristal		2 de Mayo

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.1	5.75	Watch
	1.5	4.1	6.25
	1.49	3.95	6.4	Watch
	1.48	4.12	6.57
	1.51	4.26	6.43	Watch
	1.5	3.8	6
	1.53	4.2	6.62	Watch
	1.48	4.25	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.47)	4.1 ↓ (4.39)	6.34 ↑ (6.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Cristal
62.4%

Draw
22.8%

2 de Mayo
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

21.4%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

20.6%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

The chances for 2 de Mayo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 2 de Mayo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Sporting Cristal - 2 de Mayo Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting Cristal (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Enriquez D. (G) 8. Sosa L. 20. Araujo M. 5. Lutiger R. 90. Cristiano 25. Tavara M. 21. Cabellos C. 19. Yotun Y. (C) 7. Gonzalez S. 9. Vizeu F. 11. Avila I.	1. Martinez A. (G) 15. Davalos Valdez V. 21. Sosa P. (C) 5. Saiz C. 11. Coronel U. 20. Sanabria S. 7. Alfonso E. 24. Romero O. 10. Gomez A. 17. Delvalle P. 27. Acosta D.
Substitutes
33. Bautista C. (G) 14. Benavente C. 23. Castro M. 55. Cazonatti G. 32. Diaz L. 10. Gonzales C. 18. Gonzalez J. 37. Lora F. 40. Moretti J. 15. Posito Olazabal A. J. 97. Rodriguez M. 26. Wisdom I.	13. Ayala W. 2. Barreto M. 23. Caceres Aguero F. M. 8. Colman O. 32. Diaz H. 16. Espinola A. 22. Gaona W. 3. Ibarrola W. 6. Maidana E. 4. Rodriguez Echeverria R. O. 9. Ruiz Diaz R. 12. Servin C. (G)
Coaches
Autuori P.	Ledesma E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Davalos Valdez V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Alfonso E. ↓, Ruiz Diaz R. ↑,
57', Cristiano 🟨,
59', Cabellos C. ↓, Wisdom I. ↑,
59', Vizeu F. ↓, Gonzales C. ↑,
61', Delvalle P. ↓, Ayala W. ↑,
70', Avila I. ↓, Castro M. ↑,
70', Acosta D. ↓, Caceres Aguero F. M. ↑,
73', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
79', Ayala W. 🟨,
82', Davalos Valdez V. ↓, Barreto M. ↑,
82', Gomez A. ↓, Colman O. ↑,
90', Gonzalez S. ↓, Benavente C. ↑,
90', Sosa L. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Romero O. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Yotun Y. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Colman O. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Benavente C. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Ruiz Diaz R. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Tavara M. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Caceres Aguero F. M. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Gonzales C. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Ayala W. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Gonzalez J. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Coronel U. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Cristiano (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg result: 2-2. Second leg.

Sporting Cristal has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

2 de Mayo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

2 de Mayo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sporting Cristal is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sporting Cristal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1
21.02.26	Sporting Cristal - Universitario de Deportes	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
17.02.26	2 de Mayo - Sporting Cristal	2:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
14.02.26	Juan Pablo II College - Sporting Cristal	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Sporting Cristal - FBC Melgar	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Sporting Cristal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTWLT
- CS 2 de Mayo
Paraguayan Primera Division
20.02.26	2 de Mayo - Deportivo Recoleta	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
17.02.26	2 de Mayo - Sporting Cristal	2:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
14.02.26	Sportivo Ameliano - 2 de Mayo	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
11.02.26	Alianza Lima - 2 de Mayo	1:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
07.02.26	2 de Mayo - Cerro Porteño	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
17.02.26	2 de Mayo - Sporting Cristal	2:2

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