Match Info

PARAGUAY: Division Intermedia - Round 24

Date: 2 September 2024, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports


	Sportivo Carapeguá		3 de Febrero

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.4	5
	1.65	3.6	5.2
				Watch
	1.57	3.5	5.5
	1.59	3.5	5.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.55)	3.5 ↓ (3.66)	5.3 ↓ (5.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Carapeguá
56.8%

Draw
26%

3 de Febrero
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

24.9%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

23.6%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Carapeguá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

3 de Febrero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Carapeguá than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Carapeguá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 3 de Febrero than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	18.2%	18.2%

Sportivo Carapeguá - 3 de Febrero Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Carapeguá will win (votes: 7 - 70%). 3 de Febrero will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carapeguá: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Gimenez A. ⚽,
45', Mendoza T. 🟥,
45+2', 1 - 1, Amarilla J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 2 - 1, Gimenez A. ⚽,
52', 2 - 2, Amarilla J. ⚽,
72', 2 - 3, Gonzalez E. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 and 14).

Carapeguá is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches 3 de Febrero is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Carapeguá is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Carapeguá to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Carapeguá won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Carapeguá won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Carapeguá
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
27.08.24	Colegiales - Sportivo Carapeguá	4:1 ✺
24.08.24	Sportivo Carapeguá - Sportivo San Lorenzo	4:0 ✺
19.08.24	Independiente Asuncion - Sportivo Carapeguá	0:1 ✺
12.08.24	Sportivo Carapeguá - Resistencia	2:1 ✺
05.08.24	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo Carapeguá	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWWW
- Club Atlético 3 de Febrero
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
28.08.24	3 de Febrero - Deportivo Recoleta	1:1 ✺
23.08.24	Atlético Tembetary - 3 de Febrero	2:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
21.08.24	3 de Febrero - General Caballero JLM	1:0 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
18.08.24	3 de Febrero - 12 de Junio	1:1 ✺
11.08.24	Pastoreo - 3 de Febrero	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
17.07.23	3 de Febrero - Sportivo Carapeguá	1:3
08.04.23	Sportivo Carapeguá - 3 de Febrero	1:2

Sportivo Carapeguá - 3 de Febrero: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide