Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 17

Date: 3 August 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	3 de Noviembre		Sportivo Carapeguá

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.20	3.10
	2.3	3.15	2.78
	2.31	3.35	2.69
	2.29	3.43	2.93	Watch
	2.25	3.2	2.65
	2.3	3.4	2.93
	2.28	3.1	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.63)	3.26 ↓ (3.41)	2.83 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

3 de Noviembre
40.2%

Draw
27.8%

Sportivo Carapeguá
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

27.2%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

26.3%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

3 de Noviembre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Sportivo Carapeguá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo Carapeguá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 3 de Noviembre than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Carapeguá than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

3 de Noviembre - Sportivo Carapeguá Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. 3 de Noviembre will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Carapeguá will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for 3 de Noviembre: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Martinez D. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 0 - 1, Orue D. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 12).

Recent form of 3 de Noviembre has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Carapeguá has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

3 de Noviembre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, 3 de Noviembre won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Sp. Carapegua	28	12	6	10	36:41	-5	42
12	3 de Noviembre	28	7	8	13	36:42	-6	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club 3 de Noviembre
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
27.07.26	12 de Junio - 3 de Noviembre	1:0 ✺
19.07.26	Encarnación - 3 de Noviembre	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	3 de Noviembre - Deportivo Santaní	0:4 ✺
03.07.26	Fernando de la Mora - 3 de Noviembre	2:2 ✺
28.06.26	3 de Noviembre - Paraguarí	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLTT
- Sportivo Carapeguá
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
26.07.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - General Caballero JLM	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Guaireña	2:1 ✺
10.07.26	Resistencia - Sportivo Carapeguá	1:1 ✺
05.07.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Sol de América	1:1 ✺
27.06.26	Deportivo Capiatá - Sportivo Carapeguá	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
11.04.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - 3 de Noviembre	2:1

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