Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday


	9 de Julio		Olimpo Bahia Blanca

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.85	3.5
	2.09	2.67	3.74
				Watch
	2.05	3	3.6
	2.05	2.89	3.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.12)	2.85 ↓ (2.9)	3.65 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

9 de Julio
43.7%

Draw
31.6%

Olimpo Bahia Blanca
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

31.4%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

22.5%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

9 de Julio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Olimpo Bahia Blanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Julio than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with 9 de Julio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpo Bahia Blanca than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olimpo Bahia Blanca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

9 de Julio - Olimpo Bahia Blanca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Alfano A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', 2 - 0, Bianciotti A. ⚽,
66', 3 - 0, Deboli F. ⚽,
79', 3 - 1, Coacci E. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

9 de Julio is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Olimpo has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

9 de Julio will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Argentinian Torneo Federal
15.09.24	9 de Julio - Central Norte	0:1 ✺
08.09.24	Sol de América de Formosa - 9 de Julio	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	9 de Julio - Sportivo Las Parejas	2:0 ✺
25.08.24	Sportivo Belgrano - 9 de Julio	1:0 ✺
18.08.24	9 de Julio - Atenas Río Cuarto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLL
- Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Argentinian Torneo Federal
15.09.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Santamarina de Tandil	0:1 ✺
08.09.24	Gutiérrez de Mendoza - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:1 ✺
25.08.24	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	3:2 ✺
18.08.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Villa Mitre	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LTLLL

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