The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sol de América de Formosa 43%
Draw 32.5%
9 de Julio 24.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.2%
29.9%
29.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.6%
29.6%
29.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sol de América de Formosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
9 de Julio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and 9 de Julio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sol de América de Formosa than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Julio than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that 9 de Julio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sol de América de Formosa - 9 de Julio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Astrada M. (G) 5. Alcaraz A. 11. Cabanas J. 9. Di Martino B. 10. Jimenez S. 4. Lopez Alba R. 8. Mendoza F. M. 7. Mendoza M. 6. Ojeda M. 2. Pardo F. 3. Pietkiewicz F.
1. Zanoni M. (G) 10. Abondetto R. 4. Acuna S. 2. Androetto T. 14. Bravo N. 8. Del Sole N. 18. Garcia F. 11. Larrea L. 5. Salcedo A. 6. Uriona M. 7. Varela S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Romero J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 🟥,
86', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
87', 1 - 1, Solari M. ⚽,
88', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ Torneo Federal Playoffs and 5th in the Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Playoffs).
Sol de América has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
9 de Julio has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
9 de Julio may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Sol de América is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Sol de América has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:3 (averaging 1.2:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sol de América against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:0 goals (averaging 1.7:0 per game).
Watch
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Astrada M. (G) 
Cabanas J. 
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