Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 3

Date: 12 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti (Bahía Blanca)


	Olimpo Bahia Blanca		Villa Mitre

	1	X	2
	2.10	2.55	3.90
	2.04	2.75	3.80
	2.17	2.56	4.17
	2.19	2.55	4.19	Watch
	2.14	2.40	4.10
	2.16	2.48	4.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.02)	2.55 ↓ (2.8)	4.07 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpo Bahia Blanca
42.4%

Draw
35.5%

Villa Mitre
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

32%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

31.5%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpo Bahia Blanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Villa Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpo Bahia Blanca than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (+1%)

Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Villa Mitre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lungarzo J. (G) 4. Bellone A. O. 6. Ferreyra M. 10. Guille B. 11. Hernandez A. 3. Lapetina L. 2. Moiraghi N. 7. Olivera M. 5. Stancato A. 9. Susvielles J. 8. Vargas M.	1. Mazza J. P. (G) 2. Almada J. 6. Bacigalupe S. 8. Battigelli A. 5. Cavagnero N. 10. Cordoba G. G. 4. Escobar M. 9. Ibarra T. 7. Monti L. 3. Olguin U. 11. Pinto M.
Substitutes
18. Amarilla C. 14. Chimino C. 17. Coacci E. 15. Fernandez S. 12. Geist C. (G) 20. Gonzalez F. 13. Hertel L. 19. Ibarra C. 16. Ramirez D.	15. Aguirre M. 12. Alcaraz M. (G) 14. Avit D. 16. Ayala V. 13. Barreto J. 20. Gomez S. 17. Tunessi M. 19. Valencia C. 18. Valeri V.
Coaches
Mungo C.	Cochas D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 🟨,
60', 1 - 0, Olivera M. ⚽,
60', 🟨,
62', 🟨,
63', Olguin U. ↓, Ayala V. ↑,
63', Cordoba G. G. ↓, Valeri V. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Amarilla C. ⚽,
71', 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpo won 0.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Olimpo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olimpo won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Olimpo won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 0.8:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Argentinian Torneo Federal
08.08.26	Huracán Las Heras - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1 ✺
02.08.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Juventud Antoniana	0:0 ✺
26.07.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Santamarina de Tandil	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	Germinal - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1 ✺
05.07.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Villa Mitre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTWWT
- Club Villa Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
08.08.26	Villa Mitre - Cipolletti	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Atenas Río Cuarto - Villa Mitre	0:1 ✺
26.07.26	Sol de Mayo - Villa Mitre	3:3 ✺
12.07.26	Villa Mitre - Guillermo Brown	3:0 ✺
05.07.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Villa Mitre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.07.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Villa Mitre	0:0
03.05.26	Villa Mitre - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:0
10.08.25	Villa Mitre - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:1
01.06.25	Villa Mitre - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:0
29.03.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Villa Mitre	0:0
18.08.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Villa Mitre	0:1
23.06.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Villa Mitre	2:0

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