Match Info

Serie B - Round 18

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer (Guayaquil)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	9 de Octubre		22 de Julio

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.05	7.5
	1.39	4.34	8.5
	1.39	4.29	8.54	Watch
	1.34	4.25	8.3
	1.35	4.05	8.8
	1.36	4	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.36)	4.16 ↓ (4.23)	8.17 ↑ (7.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

9 de Octubre
66.9%

Draw
22%

22 de Julio
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

21.5%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

20.3%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for 9 de Octubre have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

22 de Julio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 22 de Julio than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

9 de Octubre - 22 de Julio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Asprilla G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 11 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

9 de Octubre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, 9 de Octubre is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, 9 de Octubre won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, 9 de Octubre won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Nueve de Octubre	28	11	12	5	31:20	11	45

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 9 de Octubre FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
16.07.26	Cumbayá - 9 de Octubre	0:0 ✺
11.07.26	9 de Octubre - Gualaceo	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	LDU Portoviejo - 9 de Octubre	1:1 ✺
09.06.26	9 de Octubre - Vinotinto	2:1 ✺
03.06.26	Atlético Rojiblanco - 9 de Octubre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TTTWT
- 22 de Julio FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
18.07.26	Gualaceo - 22 de Julio	0:1 ✺
02.07.26	Cumbayá - 22 de Julio	4:0 ✺
09.06.26	22 de Julio - Atlético Rojiblanco	0:1 ✺
05.06.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - 22 de Julio	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	22 de Julio - San Antonio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
03.05.26	22 de Julio - 9 de Octubre	0:1
16.08.25	22 de Julio - 9 de Octubre	1:0
18.03.25	9 de Octubre - 22 de Julio	0:0

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