Match Info

Serie B - Round 15

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Reales Tamarindos (Portoviejo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	LDU Portoviejo		9 de Octubre

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.70	2.70	2.60
	2.45	2.78	2.92
	2.47	2.88	3.08
	2.89	2.74	2.79	Watch
	2.4	2.8	3
	2.64	2.72	3.1	Watch
	2.48	2.8	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.63)	2.77 ↓ (2.88)	2.92 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LDU Portoviejo
35.6%

Draw
33%

9 de Octubre
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

31.2%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

32.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LDU Portoviejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

9 de Octubre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Portoviejo than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	37.5%	62.5%

LDU Portoviejo - 9 de Octubre Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. 9 de Octubre will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for 9 de Octubre: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 0 - 1, ⚽,
82', 🟥,
84', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )).

LDU Portoviejo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

9 de Octubre's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, LDU Portoviejo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Nueve de Octubre	28	11	12	5	31:20	11	45

Last Results with these Odds

9 de Octubre - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.59%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LDU Portoviejo
Ecuadorian Serie B
09.06.26	San Antonio - LDU Portoviejo	4:2 ✺
06.06.26	LDU Portoviejo - Gualaceo	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	El Nacional - LDU Portoviejo	0:1 ✺
23.05.26	LDU Portoviejo - Vinotinto	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
19.05.26	LDU Portoviejo - Libertad Loja	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWWWW
- 9 de Octubre FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
09.06.26	9 de Octubre - Vinotinto	2:1 ✺
03.06.26	Atlético Rojiblanco - 9 de Octubre	0:0 ✺
30.05.26	9 de Octubre - Cuenca Juniors	3:3 ✺
25.05.26	Independiente Juniors - 9 de Octubre	0:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
22.05.26	9 de Octubre - Manta	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
18.04.26	9 de Octubre - LDU Portoviejo	3:2

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