Match Info

Serie B - Round 17

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Cumbayá		9 de Octubre

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.65	3.20
	2.43	2.33	3.70
	2.38	2.66	4.26
	2.56	2.38	3.87	Watch
	2.30	2.30	4.25
	2.34	2.71	3.65
	2.32	2.65	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.08)	2.53 ↓ (3)	3.77 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cumbayá
39%

Draw
36.5%

9 de Octubre
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

29.8%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

29.3%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cumbayá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

9 de Octubre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Cumbayá - 9 de Octubre Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cumbayá will win (votes: 3 - 50%). 9 de Octubre will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cumbayá (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )).

Cumbayá is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, 9 de Octubre has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cumbayá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cumbayá is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cumbayá won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cumbayá won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Nueve de Octubre	29	11	12	6	31:21	10	45

Last Results with these Odds

9 de Octubre - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 27.13%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cumbayá FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
08.07.26	El Nacional - Cumbayá	0:1 ✺
02.07.26	Cumbayá - 22 de Julio	4:0 ✺
10.06.26	Gualaceo - Cumbayá	1:0 ✺
04.06.26	Vinotinto - Cumbayá	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Cumbayá - Independiente Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWLTW
- 9 de Octubre FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
11.07.26	9 de Octubre - Gualaceo	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	LDU Portoviejo - 9 de Octubre	1:1 ✺
09.06.26	9 de Octubre - Vinotinto	2:1 ✺
03.06.26	Atlético Rojiblanco - 9 de Octubre	0:0 ✺
30.05.26	9 de Octubre - Cuenca Juniors	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
29.04.26	9 de Octubre - Cumbayá	1:0
01.07.25	Cumbayá - 9 de Octubre	1:0
24.04.25	9 de Octubre - Cumbayá	1:2
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.10.22	9 de Octubre - Cumbayá	0:1
20.05.22	Cumbayá - 9 de Octubre	3:2

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