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Current Win Probability
Cumbayá 61.2%
Draw 21.2%
El Nacional 17.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
61.6%
23.4%
15%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.4%
22.4%
14.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cumbayá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
El Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Cumbayá - El Nacional Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cumbayá won 4.
Cumbayá has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
El Nacional is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Cumbayá may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Cumbayá holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Cumbayá has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:10 (averaging 1.3:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cumbayá against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:2 goals (averaging 1.2:0.4 per game).
Ecuador
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