Match Info

Copa Ecuador - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer (Guayaquil)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611, DSports 4
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
Peru	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	9 de Octubre		Técnico Universitario

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	2.9
	2.22	3.2	3
	2.33	2.93	3.29	Watch
	2.26	3.29	3.09
	2.25	3.22	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.22)	3.15 ↓ (3.2)	3.07 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

9 de Octubre
40.9%

Draw
29.1%

Técnico Universitario
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

28.6%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

29.5%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

9 de Octubre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Técnico Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

9 de Octubre - Técnico Universitario Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. 9 de Octubre (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (5 - 3)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),

Preview

9 de Octubre has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Técnico Univ is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

9 de Octubre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

9 de Octubre will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, 9 de Octubre won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, 9 de Octubre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 9 de Octubre FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
16.08.25	22 de Julio - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	9 de Octubre - Atlético Vinotinto	0:1 ✺
31.07.25	Chacaritas - 9 de Octubre	1:1 ✺
24.07.25	9 de Octubre - San Antonio	1:0 ✺
17.07.25	Independiente Juniors - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLTWL
- Técnico Universitario
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.08.25	Técnico Universitario - Emelec	0:1 ✺
10.08.25	Vinotinto - Técnico Universitario	0:1 ✺
03.08.25	Técnico Universitario - Manta	3:1 ✺
27.07.25	Mushuc Runa - Técnico Universitario	0:1 ✺
20.07.25	Técnico Universitario - Deportivo Macará	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
09.07.22	9 de Octubre - Técnico Universitario	2:0
21.02.22	Técnico Universitario - 9 de Octubre	2:1
08.08.21	9 de Octubre - Técnico Universitario	0:1
08.03.21	Técnico Universitario - 9 de Octubre	0:0

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