Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 22

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Bellavista (Ambato)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Técnico Universitario		Manta

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.60	5.00	Watch
	1.63	3.25	5.00
	1.68	3.40	5.25	Watch
	1.70	3.41	5.80
	1.69	3.42	5.6	Watch
	1.68	3.30	5.70
	1.70	3.63	4.84	Watch
	1.67	3.35	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.75)	3.42 ↑ (3.4)	5.27 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Técnico Universitario
55.4%

Draw
27.1%

Manta
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

27.2%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.1%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Técnico Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Manta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Técnico Universitario that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manta than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Técnico Universitario - Manta Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Técnico Univ will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Razzeto S. (G) 23. Mesa Mercado E. E. 13. Anaya J. 5. Mena S. 16. Caicedo J. 53. Chilla R. 33. Majao J. 70. Castano M. 10. Johan Bocanegra 7. Estupinan L. (C) 9. Guardia H.	1. Chavez W. (C) 27. Troya J. 4. Nazareno J. 24. Moscarelli O. 31. Mina G. 5. Ramirez B. 6. Jimenez J. 10. Burbano R. 55. Verges J. 70. Nazareno J. 9. Blanco J.
Substitutes
30. Arce K. 85. Arce Y. 11. Arteaga C. 67. Carrasco Bonilla M. A. 19. Castillo A. 15. Castillo F. 4. Cordova 25. Delgado B. 77. Garcia C. 12. Morales A. (G)	19. Alman J. 57. Burbano S. 20. Chala J. 23. Medina A. 52. Rialpe J. 8. Valencia M. 12. Zambrano F. (G)
Coaches
Redin B.	Carvajal Burgos J. E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Mina G. 🟨,
45', Chavez W. 🟨,
45+4', Ramirez B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Majao J. ↓, Delgado B. ↑,
63', Mena S. ↓, Arce Y. ↑,
63', Caicedo J. ↓, Castillo F. ↑,
65', Castano M. 🟨,
69', Blanco J. 🟨,
70', 1 - 0, Guardia H. ⚽,
74', Ramirez B. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
74', Jimenez J. ↓, Alman J. ↑,
79', Guardia H. ↓, Cordova ↑,
79', Johan Bocanegra ↓, Carrasco Bonilla M. A. ↑,
87', Verges J. ↓, Valencia M. ↑,
87', Mina G. ↓, Burbano S. ↑,
89', Nazareno J. 🟨,
89', Alman J. 🟨,
90+2', Carvajal Burgos J. E. 🟥,
90+4', Moscarelli O. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 2.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Manta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Técnico Univ is considered a favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Técnico Univ won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Manta - the odds 4.6 are the expected chance of winning is 20.07%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Técnico Universitario
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.07.26	Independiente del Valle - Técnico Universitario	3:0 ✺
19.07.26	Técnico Universitario - SD Aucas	0:1 ✺
15.07.26	Libertad Loja - Técnico Universitario	1:0 ✺
10.07.26	Técnico Universitario - Deportivo Macará	0:2 ✺
06.07.26	Orense - Técnico Universitario	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLLLW
- Manta FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.07.26	Manta - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
19.07.26	Guayaquil City - Manta	1:0 ✺
14.07.26	Manta - Delfín	0:1 ✺
11.07.26	Manta - Orense	0:0 ✺
03.07.26	Independiente del Valle - Manta	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
05.04.26	Manta - Técnico Universitario	0:2
29.11.25	Técnico Universitario - Manta	2:3
19.10.25	Manta - Técnico Universitario	2:0
03.08.25	Técnico Universitario - Manta	3:1
10.04.25	Manta - Técnico Universitario	2:1
19.09.21	Técnico Universitario - Manta	0:0
09.04.21	Manta - Técnico Universitario	0:2

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