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Current Win Probability
9 de Octubre 63.5%
Draw 23.3%
San Antonio 13.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.7%
30.4%
19.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.3%
29.5%
19.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
9 de Octubre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in 9 de Octubre's performance.
San Antonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Antonio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with 9 de Octubre that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Antonio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
9 de Octubre - San Antonio Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. 9 de Octubre (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
9 de Octubre will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 9 de Octubre won 2.
In recent outings, 9 de Octubre has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
San Antonio has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
9 de Octubre may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, 9 de Octubre has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this matchup, 9 de Octubre is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, 9 de Octubre has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:8 (averaging 1.2:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for 9 de Octubre against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 8:3 goals (averaging 1.6:0.6 per game).
Standings
Promotion Group
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Nueve de Octubre
28
11
12
5
31:20
11
45
6
San Antonio
28
7
12
9
26:32
-6
33
Last Results with these Odds
9 de Octubre - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 49.75%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Ecuador
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