Match Info

Serie B - Round 21

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer (Guayaquil)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, Zapping


	9 de Octubre		Atlético Vinotinto

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	3.4	Watch
	1.97	3.73	3.38
	1.97	3.52	3.59	Watch
	1.95	3.22	3.62
	1.57	3.7	5.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.6)	3.51 ↑ (3.3)	3.9 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

9 de Octubre
49.7%

Draw
26.5%

Atlético Vinotinto
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

27.2%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

27.6%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

9 de Octubre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in 9 de Octubre's performance.

Atlético Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Vinotinto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with 9 de Octubre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Vinotinto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

9 de Octubre - Atlético Vinotinto Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. 9 de Octubre will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for 9 de Octubre: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 de Octubre will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', 🟥,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).

9 de Octubre is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, 9 de Octubre is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, 9 de Octubre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 9 de Octubre FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
31.07.25	Chacaritas - 9 de Octubre	1:1 ✺
24.07.25	9 de Octubre - San Antonio	1:0 ✺
17.07.25	Independiente Juniors - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
10.07.25	9 de Octubre - Vargas Torres	1:1 ✺
01.07.25	Cumbayá - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TWLTL
- Atlético Vinotinto
Ecuadorian Serie B
31.07.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Gualaceo	1:2 ✺
23.07.25	Imbabura - Atlético Vinotinto	1:0 ✺
16.07.25	Atlético Vinotinto - 22 de Julio	8:0 ✺
10.07.25	Chacaritas - Atlético Vinotinto	1:2 ✺
03.07.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Leones del Norte	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
28.05.25	Atlético Vinotinto - 9 de Octubre	0:1

9 de Octubre - Atlético Vinotinto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide