Match Info

Serie B - Round 20

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Pelileo (Pelileo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping


	Chacaritas		9 de Octubre

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.6	3.45	1.82
	3.75	3.89	1.86
	4.04	3.30	1.91	Watch
	3.6	3.4	1.91
	3.94	3.7	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↓ (4)	3.55 ↓ (4.18)	1.85 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chacaritas
24.3%

Draw
25.9%

9 de Octubre
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

21.8%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

21%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chacaritas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

9 de Octubre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and 9 de Octubre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chacaritas than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that 9 de Octubre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Chacaritas - 9 de Octubre Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. 9 de Octubre (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: 9 de Octubre will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )).

Chacaritas is Serie B (Relegation Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chacaritas won 0.

Chacaritas is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

9 de Octubre has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Chacaritas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

9 de Octubre will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Chacaritas won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Chacaritas won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chacaritas FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
22.07.25	22 de Julio - Chacaritas	3:0 ✺
15.07.25	Chacaritas - Leones del Norte	2:1 ✺
10.07.25	Chacaritas - Atlético Vinotinto	1:2 ✺
02.07.25	Guayaquil City - Chacaritas	6:0 ✺
25.06.25	Chacaritas - Independiente Juniors	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWLLL
- 9 de Octubre FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
24.07.25	9 de Octubre - San Antonio	1:0 ✺
17.07.25	Independiente Juniors - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
10.07.25	9 de Octubre - Vargas Torres	1:1 ✺
01.07.25	Cumbayá - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
26.06.25	9 de Octubre - Gualaceo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
20.05.25	9 de Octubre - Chacaritas	2:0
11.09.24	Chacaritas - 9 de Octubre	1:1
24.07.24	9 de Octubre - Chacaritas	4:1
12.06.24	Chacaritas - 9 de Octubre	1:4
24.04.24	9 de Octubre - Chacaritas	1:0
06.09.23	9 de Octubre - Chacaritas	1:0
12.07.23	Chacaritas - 9 de Octubre	1:1

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