Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 30

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Añorga		Portugalete

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.25	1.45
	4.04	4.09	1.67
	5.19	4.6	1.48
	4.8	3.6	1.6
	7.07	4.8	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.32 ↓ (5.92)	4.27 ↓ (4.27)	1.51 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Añorga
17.3%

Draw
21.6%

Portugalete
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.3%

21.2%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

20.5%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Añorga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Portugalete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Añorga than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Añorga - Portugalete Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent performances by Añorga have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Portugalete is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Portugalete is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Añorga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Portugalete - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 63.48%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Añorga KKE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
02.04.26	San Ignacio - Añorga	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Añorga - Derio	3:0 ✺
19.03.26	Touring KE - Añorga	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Añorga - Alavés C	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Añorga	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WWLWL
- Club Portugalete
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
01.04.26	Portugalete - Durango	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Aretxabaleta - Portugalete	2:2 ✺
19.03.26	Portugalete - Zamudio	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Santurtzi - Portugalete	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Portugalete - Real Sociedad C	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
06.12.25	Portugalete - Añorga	3:0
28.01.24	Portugalete - Añorga	1:1

Upcoming Matches