Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 13

Date: 15 July 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Maria Lamas Farache (Natal)

Referee: Bellote L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	ABC		Tombense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	2.9	2.95
	2.3	2.95	3.1	Watch
	2.35	2.98	3.23
	2.34	2.94	3.11	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3
	2.28	2.97	3.11	Watch
	2.31	2.9	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.44)	2.93 ↓ (2.95)	3.09 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ABC
39.6%

Draw
30.9%

Tombense
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

31.1%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

30.1%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ABC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ABC than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	60%	10%

ABC - Tombense Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. ABC will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Tombense will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Paulo (G) 28. Adeilson Maranhao 5. Daniel 4. Eduardo Thuram 21. Iago 18. Jenison 23. Lima 6. Lucas Sampaio 26. Matheus Rocha 17. Richardson (C) 15. Walfrido	1. Felipe Garcia (G) 6. Emerson 11. Felipinho 9. Igor Bahia 8. Kaio Mendes 5. Moises Ribeiro 25. Pedro 2. Pedro Costa 18. Pierre 4. Roger Carvalho (C) 31. Rony Fernandes
Substitutes
12. Carlos Eduardo (G) 25. David Ribeiro 2. Felipe Albuquerque 13. Freitas Barreto P. C. 10. Gabriel Santiago 9. Jackson 16. Manoel 19. Pedro Felipe 7. Ruan 11. Wallyson 14. Wellington Reis 3. Wesley	12. Davi Schneider (G) 20. Denner 29. Diego Fernandes 3. Ednei 7. Jefferson Renan 33. Joao Vitor 15. Mikael 34. Tiaguinho 17. Vitinho
Coaches
Roberto Fonseca	Raul Cabral

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Adeilson Maranhao ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pedro ↓, Vitinho ↑,
46', Kaio Mendes ↓, Denner ↑,
50', Walfrido 🟨,
58', Walfrido ↓, Wellington Reis ↑,
58', Lima ↓, Gabriel Santiago ↑,
59', Moises Ribeiro ↓, Mikael ↑,
65', Iago ↓, Pedro Felipe ↑,
65', Igor Bahia 🟨,
69', Igor Bahia ↓, Diego Fernandes ↑,
74', Jenison ↓, Jackson ↑,
74', Adeilson Maranhao ↓, Wallyson ↑,
81', Pierre ↓, Jefferson Renan ↑,
89', Matheus Rocha 🟨,
90+2', Mikael 🟨,
90+3', Lucas Sampaio 🟨,
90+4', Pedro Felipe 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Tombense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

ABC will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches ABC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams ABC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie C
06.07.24	ABC - CS Alagoano	0:2 ✺
29.06.24	Ypiranga - ABC	1:1 ✺
24.06.24	ABC - Remo	3:1 ✺
17.06.24	ABC - Volta Redonda	0:1 ✺
08.06.24	Figueirense - ABC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTWLT
- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie C
07.07.24	Tombense - Náutico Capibaribe	0:0 ✺
01.07.24	Londrina - Tombense	3:3 ✺
26.06.24	Tombense - Caxias	2:1 ✺
22.06.24	Tombense - Floresta	3:0 ✺
15.06.24	Aparecidense - Tombense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
07.09.23	Tombense - ABC	3:0
23.05.23	ABC - Tombense	1:0

ABC - Tombense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide