Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 9

Date: 15 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Annibal Batista de Toledo (Aparecida de Goiânia)

Referee: Holanda L. (Bra)


	Aparecidense		Tombense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.37	2.9	2.8
	2.4	2.95	2.9	Watch
	2.52	2.99	3.21
	2.53	2.8	3.21
	2.3	2.9	2.88
	2.4	2.95	2.94	Watch
	2.47	2.85	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.5)	2.91 ↑ (2.85)	2.98 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aparecidense
37.7%

Draw
31.5%

Tombense
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

33.3%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aparecidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Aparecidense - Tombense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Henrique (G) 14. Da Silva 8. Du Fernandes 5. Guilherme Nunes 11. Igor Torres 7. Julio Cesar 13. Luan Sales 10. Robert (C) 6. Rodrigues 9. Rubens 3. Vanderley	1. Felipe Garcia (G) 6. Emerson 19. Gustavo Modesto 9. Igor Bahia 13. Iury 15. Mikael 25. Pedro 18. Pierre 22. Rickson 4. Roger Carvalho (C) 31. Rony Fernandes
Substitutes
21. Cauari 16. Emanuel 22. Falcao 2. Genilson 20. Juninho 17. Luan Martins 12. Matheus Alves (G) 18. Matheus Chaves 23. Matheus Inacio (G) 4. Mauricio 19. Rhuan 15. Victor Oliveira	12. Davi Schneider (G) 20. Denner 29. Diego Fernandes 7. Jefferson Renan 33. Joao Vitor 10. Rafinha 17. Vitinho 30. Wesley
Coaches
Lucio F.	Raul Cabral

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Igor Torres ⚽,
20', Vanderley 🟨,
30', 2 - 0, Julio Cesar ⚽,
45+3', Guilherme Nunes 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Robert 🟨,
59', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
64', Julio Cesar ↓, Mauricio ↑,
64', Vanderley ↓, Emanuel ↑,
64', Gustavo Modesto ↓, Jefferson Renan ↑,
66', Pierre 🟨,
73', Du Fernandes ↓, Luan Martins ↑,
78', Luan Martins 🟨,
78', Rickson ↓, Rafinha ↑,
79', 🟨,
82', 2 - 1, Rafinha ⚽,
83', Rubens ↓, Genilson ↑,
83', Robert ↓, Cauari ↑,
87', Igor Bahia 🟨,
90', Roger Carvalho ↓, Diego Fernandes ↑,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 15 and 9).

Aparecidense is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tombense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Aparecidense have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Serie C
08.06.24	Ferroviária - Aparecidense	0:0 ✺
01.06.24	Confiança - Aparecidense	3:1 ✺
20.05.24	Athletic Club - Aparecidense	1:0 ✺
13.05.24	Aparecidense - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
05.05.24	Figueirense - Aparecidense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLLTL
- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie C
10.06.24	Ypiranga - Tombense	1:0 ✺
01.06.24	Tombense - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
19.05.24	Remo - Tombense	0:0 ✺
11.05.24	Tombense - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	Confiança - Tombense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTTWW

Aparecidense - Tombense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide