Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 11

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday


	AC Libertas		Fiorentino

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.45	1.95
	3.06	3.46	2.02
	3.21	3.42	2.01
	3.1	3.5	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.94)	3.46 ↑ (3.4)	2 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

AC Libertas
28.7%

Draw
26.1%

Fiorentino
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

26.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

25.7%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AC Libertas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Fiorentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AC Libertas than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentino than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

AC Libertas - Fiorentino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Abouzziane S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AC Libertas won 1.

Recent performances by AC Libertas have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fiorentino has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Fiorentino could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, AC Libertas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 2:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, AC Libertas won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.8:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Libertas
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
23.11.25	Cosmos - AC Libertas	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	AC Libertas - Pennarossa	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Folgore - AC Libertas	6:1 ✺
25.10.25	AC Libertas - La Fiorita	1:3 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
21.10.25	AC Libertas - Cailungo	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TTLLW
- FC Fiorentino
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
23.11.25	Fiorentino - Cailungo	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Fiorentino - Cosmos	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Tre Fiori - Fiorentino	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Juvenes-Dogana - Fiorentino	1:1 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
22.10.25	Juvenes-Dogana - Fiorentino	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
15.03.25	Fiorentino - AC Libertas	1:2
09.03.24	Fiorentino - AC Libertas	4:3
26.11.23	AC Libertas - Fiorentino	0:1
03.03.23	AC Libertas - Fiorentino	3:3
22.10.22	Fiorentino - AC Libertas	3:2
09.03.22	AC Libertas - Fiorentino	1:3
11.11.18	AC Libertas - Fiorentino	3:3

Upcoming Matches