Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 9

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	AC Libertas		Pennarossa

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.35	2.22
	2.75	3.44	2.22
	2.76	3.42	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.75)	3.4 ↑ (3.37)	2.23 (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AC Libertas
32.8%

Draw
26.6%

Pennarossa
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

26.8%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

25.8%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for AC Libertas have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Pennarossa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AC Libertas than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pennarossa than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Pintore M. ⚽, Azzurro A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
76', 1 - 1, Quarta A. ⚽, Capparelli G. (A),
82', 1 - 2, Tumidei M. ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 2, Pezzella A. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AC Libertas won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, AC Libertas won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:7. (average 2.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, AC Libertas won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Libertas
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
01.11.25	Folgore - AC Libertas	6:1 ✺
25.10.25	AC Libertas - La Fiorita	1:3 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
21.10.25	AC Libertas - Cailungo	2:1 penalties ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
18.10.25	Faetano - AC Libertas	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Murata - AC Libertas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWTT
- SS Pennarossa
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
02.11.25	Pennarossa - San Marino Academy U22	3:1 ✺
25.10.25	Folgore - Pennarossa	3:0 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
21.10.25	Tre Fiori - Pennarossa	3:0 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
18.10.25	Pennarossa - San Giovanni	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Tre Penne - Pennarossa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
08.03.25	Pennarossa - AC Libertas	1:1
13.01.24	Pennarossa - AC Libertas	1:4
11.04.23	Pennarossa - AC Libertas	0:7
17.12.22	AC Libertas - Pennarossa	3:3
09.04.22	Pennarossa - AC Libertas	1:0
19.12.21	AC Libertas - Pennarossa	1:1

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