Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 34

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio San Filippo (Messina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport 255


	ACR Messina		Altamura

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.3	3.1	3.1
	2.36	3.14	3.1
	2.3	3	2.9
	2.26	3.14	2.96	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (3.35)	3.1 ↓ (3.3)	3.04 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ACR Messina
40.3%

Draw
29.6%

Altamura
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

28.1%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

27.7%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ACR Messina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ACR Messina's performance.

Altamura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Altamura might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ACR Messina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altamura than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Altamura could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

ACR Messina - Altamura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Krapikas T. (G) 4. Garofalo V. 44. Dumbravanu D. 6. Gelli J. 14. Gyamfi B. 23. Crimi M. 37. Buchel M. 16. Petrucci D. (C) 11. Tordini M. 18. Luciani P. 28. Pedicillo L.	22. Viola A. (G) 98. Rizzo F. 18. Silletti E. 31. De Santis E. 24. Ortisi P. 6. Ganfornina F. 16. Grande M. 44. Franco D. 4. Dipinto N. 99. D'Amico F. 26. Leonetti V. (C)
Substitutes
31. Anzelmo D. 24. Chiarella M. 90. Costantino R. 9. De Sena C. 3. Ingrosso G. 27. Mameli B. 15. Marino A. 22. Meli G. (G) 30. Vicario J.	8. Andreoli L. 78. Bumbu J. 33. Dibenedetto V. 69. Lagonigro P. 19. Mane M. 11. Onofrietti V. 30. Palermo R. 5. Sadiki K. 90. Simone G. 12. Spina A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', Viola A. 🟨,
5', 1 - 0, Luciani P. ⚽,
18', Gyamfi B. 🟨,
31', 2 - 0, Petrucci D. ⚽,
33', De Santis E. 🟨,
45+3', Ganfornina F. 🟨,
45+4', Dumbravanu D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Franco D. ↓, Bumbu J. ↑,
46', 3 - 0, Luciani P. ⚽,
46', Ortisi P. ↓, Mane M. ↑,
56', Leonetti V. ↓, Palermo R. ↑,
56', Rizzo F. ↓, Simone G. ↑,
56', Pedicillo L. ↓, Vicario J. ↑,
61', Buchel M. 🟨,
64', Dipinto N. ↓, Onofrietti V. ↑,
72', Tordini M. ↓, Marino A. ↑,
80', Buchel M. ↓, Chiarella M. ↑,
81', Mane M. 🟨,
84', 3 - 1, Onofrietti V. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 12).

ACR Messina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Altamura is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

ACR Messina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in ACR Messina: Crimi M. (Yellow Cards) Curtosi F. (Injury) Dell'Aquila F. (Red Card) Ingrosso G. (Injury)

There will not play in Altamura: Rolando M. (Yellow Cards) Sabbatani A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Altamura: Bumbu J. (Inactive)

Last 1 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACR Messina
Italian Serie C Group C
23.03.25	Giugliano - ACR Messina	2:3 ✺
16.03.25	ACR Messina - Catania	0:1 ✺
12.03.25	Cavese - ACR Messina	3:3 ✺
08.03.25	ACR Messina - Avellino	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Monopoli - ACR Messina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLTLL
- Team Altamura
Italian Serie C Group C
17.03.25	Potenza - Altamura	3:1 ✺
12.03.25	Altamura - Casertana	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Juventus U23 - Altamura	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Altamura - Latina	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Altamura - Catania	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
17.11.24	Altamura - ACR Messina	2:1

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