The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
ACR Messina 27.9%
Draw 29.5%
Catania 42.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.2%
25.6%
50.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.3%
24.6%
52.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ACR Messina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Catania might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Catania could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
ACR Messina - Catania Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Krapikas T. (G) 7. Lia D. 6. Gelli J. 15. Marino A. 20. Haveri K. 28. Pedicillo L. 16. Petrucci D. (C) 4. Garofalo V. 77. Dell'Aquila F. 90. Costantino R. 18. Luciani P.
57. Dini A. (G) 68. Ierardi M. 15. Di Gennaro M. 24. Gega E. 19. Raimo A. 16. Quaini A. 6. De Rose F. 33. Anastasio A. 23. Lunetta G. 10. Jimenez K. 32. Montalto A.
Substitutes
31. Anzelmo D. 9. De Sena C. 14. Gyamfi B. 22. Meli G. (G) 40. Morichelli R. 11. Tordini M. 30. Vicario J.
63. Allegretto A. 12. Butano D. (G) 77. Dalmonte N. 5. Del Fabro D. 11. De Paoli A. 7. Di Tacchio F. 47. Doni S. 13. Farroni A. (G) 20. Frisenna G. 17. Luperini G. 21. Stoppa M. 8. Sturaro S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Lunetta G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Luciani P. ↓, Vicario J. ↑,
46', Dell'Aquila F. ↓, Tordini M. ↑,
49', Marino A. 🟨,
59', Montalto A. ↓, De Paoli A. ↑,
59', Lunetta G. ↓, Dalmonte N. ↑,
65', Costantino R. ↓, De Sena C. ↑,
67', De Sena C. 🟨,
70', Raimo A. 🟨,
87', Anastasio A. ↓, Di Tacchio F. ↑,
88', Quaini A. ↓, Allegretto A. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 1.
ACR Messina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Catania is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Catania could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Catania will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in ACR Messina: Chiarella M.
(Inactive)
Ingrosso G.
(Injury)
There will not play in Catania: Anastasio A.
(Inactive)
Bethers K.
(Ankle Injury)
Celli A.
(Injury)
Dalmonte N.
(Injury)
Guglielmotti D.
(Injury)
Inglese R.
(Injury)
Sturaro S.
(Muscle Injury)
Last 10 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:12 (average 0.9:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams ACR Messina won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.2:0.8).
Last Results with these Odds
ACR Messina - the odds 3.7 are the expected chance of winning is 24.18%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
Italy
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Krapikas T. (G) 
Lia D. 
Haveri K. 
Jimenez K. 
Gyamfi B. 
Vicario J. 
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