The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Giugliano 49.5%
Draw 27.7%
ACR Messina 22.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.2%
25.7%
17.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.4%
24.3%
16.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Giugliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Giugliano's form might have worsened.
ACR Messina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ACR Messina's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giugliano than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Giugliano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ACR Messina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Giugliano - ACR Messina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Russo D. (G) 77. Valdesi A. 15. Solcia D. 23. Minelli A. 3. Oyewale S. 44. Peluso L. 8. De Rosa R. 17. Giorgione C. 10. Del Sole F. 90. Nepi A. 32. Balde I.
12. Krapikas T. (G) 7. Lia D. 15. Marino A. 6. Gelli J. 20. Haveri K. 4. Garofalo V. 23. Crimi M. 16. Petrucci D. (C) 28. Pedicillo L. 11. Tordini M. 18. Luciani P.
Substitutes
30. Anacoura J. (G) 6. Celeghin E. 31. D'Aniello A. (G) 80. Demirovic E. 25. Galletta V. 33. La Vardera S. 18. Masala M. 11. Njambe M. 45. Nuredini A. 14. Padula C.
31. Anzelmo D. 33. Buchel M. 24. Chiarella M. 90. Costantino R. 77. Dell'Aquila F. 9. De Sena C. 14. Gyamfi B. 27. Mameli B. 22. Meli G. (G) 30. Vicario J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Marino A. ↓, Gyamfi B. ↑,
14', Haveri K. ↓, Buchel M. ↑,
20', 1 - 0, Del Sole F. ⚽,
32', Peluso L. 🟨,
41', De Rosa R. ↓, Celeghin E. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
51', Solcia D. 🟨,
51', 1 - 1, Luciani P. ⚽,
59', Peluso L. ↓, Demirovic E. ↑,
59', Nepi A. ↓, Padula C. ↑,
60', Balde I. ↓, Njambe M. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Minelli A. ⚽,
76', Crimi M. 🟨,
77', Petrucci D. ↓, Dell'Aquila F. ↑,
81', Del Sole F. ↓, La Vardera S. ↑,
84', 2 - 2, Gyamfi B. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 3, Gyamfi B. ⚽,
90+4', Oyewale S. 🟨,
90+6', 🟥,
90+6', 🟥,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Giugliano won 1.
Recent matches Giugliano is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
ACR Messina has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Giugliano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Giugliano is a favorite.
There will not play in Giugliano: Acampa D.
(Injury)
Romano A.
(Injury)
Scaravilli A.
(Foot Injury)
There will not play in ACR Messina: Chiarella M.
(Inactive)
Dumbravanu D.
(Red Card)
Ingrosso G.
(Injury)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Giugliano won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:6 (average 0.8:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Giugliano won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).
Italy
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Russo D. (G) 
Oyewale S. 
Balde I. 
Krapikas T. (G) 
Haveri K. 
Demirovic E. 
Njambe M. 
Buchel M. 
Gyamfi B. 
Vicario J. 
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