Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 31

Date: 12 March 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Simonetta Lamberti (Cava de' Tirreni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 259


	Cavese		ACR Messina

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	4.2
	1.9	3.15	4.2
	1.87	3.23	4.6
	1.9	3.19	4.41
	1.91	3	4.2
	1.82	3.2	4.23	Watch
	1.9	3.15	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.63)	3.15 ↓ (3.3)	4.29 ↓ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cavese
49.2%

Draw
29.3%

ACR Messina
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

27%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

26%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cavese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cavese's form might have worsened.

ACR Messina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cavese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Cavese - ACR Messina Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cavese will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Boffelli V. (G) 23. Saio P. 25. Peretti M. 27. Loreto C. 34. Rizzo A. 4. Sannipoli D. 16. Pezzella S. 3. Vitale G. 28. Marchisano M. 11. Chirico C. 7. Sorrentino D.	22. Meli G. (G) 14. Gyamfi B. 6. Gelli J. 15. Marino A. 2. Haveri K. 23. Crimi M. 4. Garofalo V. 28. Pedicillo L. 16. Petrucci D. 18. Luciani P. 9. De Sena C.
Substitutes
99. Barone M. 32. Citarella F. 19. Diarrassouba A. 22. Di Somma G. (G) 13. Evangelisti N. 10. Fella G. 8. Konate A. 1. Lamberti D. (G) 17. Marranzino P. 33. Rossi D. 90. Verde F. 24. Vigliotti G.	31. Anzelmo D. 37. Buchel M. 90. Costantino R. 1. Curtosi F. (G) 77. Dell'Aquila F. 7. Lia D. 40. Morichelli R. 11. Tordini M. 30. Vicario J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Crimi M. 🟨,
17', Marino A. 🟨,
20', Gyamfi B. ↓, Lia D. ↑,
25', Vitale G. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Luciani P. ⚽,
44', Sannipoli D. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Vitale G. ↓, Fella G. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Chirico C. ⚽,
51', 2 - 1, Fella G. ⚽,
55', Luciani P. 🟨,
56', Crimi M. ↓, Dell'Aquila F. ↑,
57', 3 - 1, Sannipoli D. ⚽,
58', 3 - 2, Luciani P. ⚽,
61', 3 - 3, Luciani P. ⚽,
65', Sorrentino D. ↓, Vigliotti G. ↑,
65', Marchisano M. ↓, Rossi D. ↑,
71', Chirico C. ↓, Verde F. ↑,
73', Fella G. 🟨,
73', Petrucci D. ↓, Buchel M. ↑,
73', De Sena C. ↓, Costantino R. ↑,
77', Vigliotti G. 🟨,
86', Rizzo A. ↓, Diarrassouba A. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Recent matches Cavese is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

ACR Messina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Cavese is a favorite.

There will not play in Cavese: Piana L. (Inactive)

There will not play in ACR Messina: Chiarella M. (Inactive) Ingrosso G. (Injury) Mame Ass N. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cavese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
08.03.25	Potenza - Cavese	2:2 ✺
03.03.25	Cavese - Casertana	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Cavese - Picerno	1:1 ✺
07.02.25	Latina - Cavese	1:0 ✺
31.01.25	Cavese - Altamura	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWTLT
- ACR Messina
Italian Serie C Group C
08.03.25	ACR Messina - Avellino	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Monopoli - ACR Messina	2:1 ✺
24.02.25	ACR Messina - Trapani	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	Benevento - ACR Messina	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	ACR Messina - Picerno	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
31.10.24	ACR Messina - Cavese	1:3

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