The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Altamura 17.8%
Draw 26.3%
Catania 55.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.6%
27.6%
45.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.7%
26.6%
47.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Altamura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Altamura's form might have worsened.
Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Catania's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altamura than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Altamura, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Catania, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Altamura - Catania Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Perucchini F. (G) 5. Zazza M. 31. Pirrello R. 37. Falasca M. 21. Mogentale T. 4. Dipinto N. (C) 20. Gudelevicius E. 30. Nazzaro M. 70. Peschetola L. 7. Rosafio M. 11. Simone G.
57. Dini A. (G) 35. Cabianca E. 15. Di Gennaro M. 6. Allegretto A. 7. Bruzzaniti G. 16. Quaini A. 4. Vallocchia A. 32. Masciangelo E. 94. Insigne R. 10. Cicerelli E. (C) 9. Coda M.
Substitutes
14. Bocic M. 77. Calusic M. 99. De Gennaro S. (G) 1. Di Bartolo F. (G) 27. Dimola R. 2. Gagliardi L. 9. Malcore G. 3. Ovalle Santos A. 28. Tudor R.
76. Cariello G. 70. Catania N. 11. Caturano S. 18. Cavuoti N. 20. Donnarumma D. 21. Liguori M. 23. Lunetta G. 5. Perrotta M. 1. Rinaldi F. (G) 28. Torrasi E. 25. Torre C.
Coaches
Memushaj L.
Longo E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Dipinto N. 🟨,
18', Allegretto A. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Coda M. ⚽, Vallocchia A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 0 - 2, Insigne R. ⚽, Masciangelo E. (A),
62', Nazzaro M. ↓, Calusic M. ↑,
62', Peschetola L. ↓, Bocic M. ↑,
62', Simone G. ↓, Malcore G. ↑,
63', Insigne R. ↓, Liguori M. ↑,
63', Coda M. ↓, Caturano S. ↑,
73', Quaini A. ↓, Torrasi E. ↑,
73', Cicerelli E. ↓, Lunetta G. ↑,
81', 0 - 3, Cabianca E. ⚽, Masciangelo E. (A),
88', Pirrello R. ↓, Tudor R. ↑,
88', Mogentale T. ↓, Gagliardi L. ↑,
89', Bruzzaniti G. ↓, Catania N. ↑,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 16th and 6th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals)).
Altamura is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Catania shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Catania could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Catania for this game.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Altamura has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:7 (averaging 0.5:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Altamura against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Catania
11
6
1
4
24:12
12
19
15
Altamura
11
3
3
5
9:16
-7
12
Last Results with these Odds
Catania - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 45.78%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Italy
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Perucchini F. (G) 
Gudelevicius E. 
Bocic M. 
Calusic M. 
Ovalle Santos A. 
Memushaj L. 
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