Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 9

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Tonino D'Angelo (Altamura)

Referee: Bozzetto G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Altamura		Catania

	1	X	2
	4.40	3.20	1.72
	4.5	3.3	1.75
	4.8	3.46	1.75
	4.77	3.43	1.71	Watch
	4.7	3.35	1.69
	4.79	3.28	1.68
	4.5	3.3	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.64 ↑ (3.46)	3.33 (3.33)	1.72 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altamura
19.7%

Draw
27.4%

Catania
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

27.6%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

26.5%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altamura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Altamura's form might have worsened.

Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Catania's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altamura than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Altamura, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Catania, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Altamura - Catania Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 16th and 6th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals)).

Altamura is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Catania shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Catania could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Catania for this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Altamura has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:7 (averaging 0.5:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Altamura against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Catania	8	4	1	3	14:10	4	13
16	Altamura	8	2	2	4	4:10	-6	8

Last Results with these Odds

Catania - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 45.78%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Team Altamura
Italian Serie C Group C
04.10.26	Audace Cerignola - Altamura	0:0 ✺
27.09.26	Scafatese - Altamura	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Altamura - Picerno	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Casertana - Altamura	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Altamura - Bari	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLWLL
- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
03.10.26	Catania - Crotone	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Casertana - Catania	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Catania - Barletta	0:0 ✺
15.09.26	Picerno - Catania	2:4 ✺
12.09.26	Catania - Scafatese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
15.03.26	Altamura - Catania	1:2
09.11.25	Catania - Altamura	2:0
23.02.25	Altamura - Catania	1:1
12.10.24	Catania - Altamura	2:0

Altamura - Catania: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide