Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 20

Date: 23 December 2022, Friday

Location: Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio (Picerno)


	Picerno		Catanzaro

	1	X	2
	5	3.4	1.58	Watch
	5.15	3.25	1.65
	4.9	3.3	1.63
	5.45	3.47	1.61
	5.5	3.25	1.6
	5.7	3.56	1.57	Watch
	5	3.5	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.24 ↑ (4.33)	3.39 ↑ (3)	1.61 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Picerno
17.2%

Draw
26.7%

Catanzaro
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

30%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

33.4%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Picerno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Catanzaro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	16.7%	75%

Picerno - Catanzaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Picerno will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Catanzaro: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Picerno in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Catanzaro is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Catanzaro is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Picerno won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Picerno won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie C Group C
18.12.22	Pescara - Picerno	0:1 ✺
11.12.22	Picerno - Virtus Francavilla	2:1 ✺
04.12.22	ACR Messina - Picerno	0:1 ✺
30.11.22	Picerno - Nuova Monterosi	1:0 ✺
27.11.22	Gelbison Cilento - Picerno	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.5 WWWWT
- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie C Group C
18.12.22	Catanzaro - Potenza	6:1 ✺
12.12.22	Foggia - Catanzaro	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
07.12.22	Foggia - Catanzaro	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
04.12.22	Catanzaro - Virtus Francavilla	4:1 ✺
30.11.22	Catanzaro - Giugliano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
04.09.22	Catanzaro - Picerno	4:0
02.02.22	Catanzaro - Picerno	2:0
04.09.21	Picerno - Catanzaro	0:0
15.12.19	Catanzaro - Picerno	1:0

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