Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 15

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	ACR Messina		Juve Stabia

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2
	3.6	3.2	2.05
	3.97	3.05	2.1
	3.97	2.98	2.1
	3.6	3	2
	3.68	3.08	1.98
	3.6	3.1	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (3.2)	3.06 ↑ (3)	2.03 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ACR Messina
24.9%

Draw
30%

Juve Stabia
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

30%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

29.2%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Juve Stabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ACR Messina - Juve Stabia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Fumagalli E. (G) 18. Ferrara M. 6. Manetta M. 33. Polito V. 24. Ortisi P. 8. Frisenna G. 16. Franco D. 19. Giunta F. 9. Luciani P. 28. Plescia V. 90. Ragusa A. (C)	20. Ngagne D. (G) 28. Andreoni C. 21. Bachini M. 6. Bellich M. 26. D'Amore F. 8. Buglio D. 55. Leone G. 14. Meli M. 7. Romeo F. 11. Piscopo K. 10. Bentivegna A. (C)
Substitutes
27. Cavallo C. 31. Darini M. 1. De Matteis J. (G) 22. Di Bella A. (G) 10. Emmausso M. 5. Firenze M. 23. Pacciardi F. 21. Salvo G. 20. Santoro G. (G) 77. Scafetta F. 73. Tropea L. 70. Zammit A. 11. Zunno M.	30. Aprea M. 33. Erradi B. 32. Esposito M. (G) 23. Folino F. 25. Gerbo A. 17. Guarracino M. 3. La Rosa A. 70. Marranzino P. 5. Maselli S. 44. Picardi M. 31. Rovaglia P. 1. Signorini A. (G) 77. Vimercati A.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 2.

ACR Messina has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Juve Stabia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Juve Stabia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8-15.

Including matches at home between the teams ACR Messina won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACR Messina
Italian Serie C Group C
19.11.23	Foggia - ACR Messina	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	ACR Messina - Latina	0:3 ✺
05.11.23	ACR Messina - Benevento	0:1 ✺
01.11.23	Taranto - ACR Messina	2:0 ✺
29.10.23	Crotone - ACR Messina	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLLT
- Juve Stabia
Italian Serie C Group C
19.11.23	Juve Stabia - Sorrento	0:0 ✺
13.11.23	Juve Stabia - Foggia	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
08.11.23	Turris - Juve Stabia	3:5 ET ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
05.11.23	Taranto - Juve Stabia	0:2 ✺
29.10.23	Juve Stabia - Latina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
16.04.23	ACR Messina - Juve Stabia	1:0
11.12.22	Juve Stabia - ACR Messina	3:0
05.03.22	ACR Messina - Juve Stabia	0:1
24.10.21	Juve Stabia - ACR Messina	1:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
21.08.21	Juve Stabia - ACR Messina	2:3
Italian Serie C Group C
28.01.17	ACR Messina - Juve Stabia	1:0
14.09.16	Juve Stabia - ACR Messina	2:1

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