The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Taranto 16.5%
Draw 26.3%
ACR Messina 57.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
13.7%
22.8%
63.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.5%
15.2%
42.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Taranto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ACR Messina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taranto than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (-14.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ACR Messina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30%
30%
40%
Taranto - ACR Messina Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Taranto will win (votes: 3 - 30%). ACR Messina will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for ACR Messina: 9.6% โ 70.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Del Favero M. (G) 72. Mastromonaco G. 5. Marong B. 13. Papazov T. 77. Zerbo P. 8. Fiorani M. 24. Speranza M. 14. Verde F. 20. Guarracino M. 32. Giovinco G. 99. Battimelli G.
12. Krapikas T. (G) 7. Lia D. 5. Mame Ass N. 15. Marino A. 20. Morleo U. 31. Anzelmo D. 4. Garofalo V. 16. Petrucci D. (C) 28. Pedicillo L. 9. Anatriello G. 19. Cominetti M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Cominetti M. 🟨,
39', Papazov T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Morleo U. 🟨,
60', Pedicillo L. 🟨,
61', Petrucci D. ↓, Salvo G. ↑,
61', Cominetti M. ↓, Luciani P. ↑,
61', Speranza M. 🟨,
74', Giovinco G. ↓, Zigoni G. ↑,
74', Lia D. ↓, Adragna G. ↑,
79', 0 - 1, Luciani P. ⚽,
82', Vaughn C. ↓, Locanto G. ↑,
83', Battimelli G. ↓, Garau O. ↑,
87', Guarracino M. 🟥,
88', 🟨,
90+1', Mastromonaco G. 🟨,
90+1', Anatriello G. ↓, Di Palma M. ↑,
90+3', Mastromonaco G. ↓, Zerbo P. ↑,
90+5', Adragna G. 🟨,
Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Taranto won 2.
Taranto has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
ACR Messina is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match ACR Messina is a favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Taranto won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:11 (average 0.8:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Taranto won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 0.8:0.2).